Pyth is worthless at this stage. It looks good thanks to a couple high scoring games. I've never liked its inability to account for feast or famine offenses like the Cubs, and that is just exasperated this early in the season. Take out the Cubs 2 highest and 2 lowest scoring games, and their average runs scored drops from about 4.6 to 4.3. The Cubs aren't having bad luck. They are a flawed team having all its weaknesses exposed. People keep talking about the 1 and 2 run losses, but the Cubs have lost by 3, 4 and 5 runs as well. When you are a bad team with a bad record, your record is going to be bad in just about every split. The Cubs need to drastically improve their play, not hope for luck to start going there way. So you think their 0-9 mark in close games is indicative of their true ability? They've lost close games with no scoring, with lots of scoring, and in between. CCP has shown that they aren't losing a ton of games by other deficits. Unless you can point to a specific reason why they'll continue to be mind bendingly bad in close games, then there's no reason to assume they won't correct that, and that's the difference right now between last place and first place, never mind what's in between. Perhaps things will even out. But last night's loss was not bad luck. D-Lee tried to steal 3rd and got called out just before Aramis hit a HR. Even if Lee was safe (which appearently most people think he was), it's still dumb. Cubs win 5-4. Against the Cards stupid Henry Blanco can't get a bunt down then a couple of innings later Cedeno overslides second base on a freaking ball 4. That is not bad luck. In many of those close games the Cubs have done something stupid that contributed to the loss. Not to mention Marquis has 2 pinch hit ABs. I agree with the second paragraph but the first paragraph is a prime example of being unlucky. A player who is clearly safe, on replay, was called out and a homer what hit the next play. The run would have been the difference in winning and losing. I understand that it may not have been the best idea to run, but Lee was safe. It was misfortune that he was called out, not lack of execution. These types of things will even out over time and the Cubs record will rebound, imo. How much it will rebound, I'm not sure. I agree with Bill James that a team's record in one run games is more closely correlated with luck than anything else.