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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Semi-realistic upside for this year, probably something like .270/.310/.340 with slightly above average defense. But as a 20 year old making his ML debut after skipping most of the high minors, I wouldn't be surprised to see him hit .230/.270/.280 either. I'm still of the mind that we need to keep him down til the all star break at least. Four years out, I could see him as high as .310/.370/.450 with above average defense.
  2. NSBB would be such a better place if only this were true... Nobody should take it as the gospel or anything. There's wiggle room to it same as any other metric. But the amount of hate UZR gets for being "inconsistent" is absurd... and I'll take a few seasons worth of UZR data over the opinions of 99% of the people on this board. There simply aren't many people here watching nearly enough games to have any real idea of what average defense is at a given position anymore. That's to say nothing of fans tendency to overvalue guys who make spectacular diving plays when a better defender would have gotten to the ball easily... or the fact that guys who look awkward in the field are immediately thought of as below average, even if they have more than enough range or arm to cover it. Bottom line, UZR is the best we got.
  3. There's nothing to suggest that the Cubs do want to dump Theriot over this... just that they aren't happy about it. And while we can all agree that Grabow's contract is a mistake, the situations aren't really comparable. Grabow gets paid at market value. First year arbitration eligible players like Theriot are supposed to get paid about 40% of market value.
  4. Don't they have Thome too? Yeah, which gives them some nice insurance for the OF. If somebody gets hurt (or Delmon Young decides he'll continue stubbornly refusing to imrpove his performance), Kubel can slide back out into the field and Thome can slot in at DH.
  5. Come on Derwood, you know, a liberal agenda includes looking like a European model, in Europe they don't have college sports so if we are going to go with this model I say let's go all the way and only have club ball. Unless you deny that fact then you would be in a conservative camp when it comes to sports. Derwood, you know I love ya, come on and give me a hug Derwood hugs pantless. Your move, hotshot.
  6. Seriously, your posts in this (and many other threads) show what a miserable prick you are. Stop reading the politics threads and you'll think more of him. He's willing to set aside preconceptions and learn from wellthought out arguments when the subject isn't how much he hates republicans.
  7. Does anybody care to post that article from bill james about how you could split rickey into two-seperate first ballot hall of famers? That one has always stuc with me.
  8. to be fair, the jacked up payroll is in part because of the new stadium.
  9. Pecota seems to have messed up badly and no one at BP seems to know how to fix it with Nate Silver no longer involved. i'm guessing he'd help them fix the problems, but you're right, this year's edition seemed to have a lot of bugs in it when it was released, some of which have been fixed and some that are still issues. From whaqt I gather, he's under no obligation to help them fix all of the problemems that pop up. He jumped into the world's top #100 powerful men last year according to some magaizine based on the work at 538. I don't see why he'd let himself get held back by baseball when he's on the verge of being the new and improved drudge.
  10. well it's still too early to rape and rob Nah, etiquette on that is just "when the sun goes down."
  11. Game.
  12. What's the record for fewest penalty yards in a superbowl?
  13. i'd be fine with that, but only if you are referring to the football team and not the [expletive] band. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h-vwPuiILBc
  14. Well at least this game is getting interesting. I was worried it might get lopsided after the Colts jumped out 10-0.
  15. I'm currently at the worst Super Bowl Party ever. My neighbor said she was going to have a bunch of her friends over. It's me, her, her cousin, and a bunch of people from her work... who are all 15 years older than me.
  16. It's a good thing Emmitt Smith was an excellent football player, because he would not have made it as a professional coin tosser.
  17. http://pics.livejournal.com/ack_attack/pic/004pa6y3 :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
  18. No worries. That happens around here a lot.
  19. That's selling the Twins a bit short. They are the best team in the division.
  20. People really need to stop guessing who was using steroids or not. I can't tell if the whole process is more annoying or stupid, but it's definitely something that makes you look bad.
  21. You're kidding, right? No, he's right.
  22. That's not really the Hendry MO. He seems to prefer going year to year and then trying to sign any impending FA in the period between the end of the world series and the start of free agency.
  23. What a crock of [expletive]. I live 3 hours south of chicago and buy every offered sports package (including Extra Innings) every year, but I wont get to watch OPENING DAY because I can't get WCIU, but live close enough to get blacked out regardless.
  24. Stop plagiarizing my posts before I can make them.
  25. This isn't quite true. Blanco plus whomever the Cubs received in return for Theriot would have to combine to provide those 20 runs. Let's say that the Cubs were able to move Theriot for a quality reliever that could save 10 additional runs over some of the guys currently slated for the back end of the pen. I think Blanco could be 10 runs better than Theriot on defense. Absolutely a possibility. I was just referring to the situation at SS though, as there's no way to know what we'd receive back in a trade. It could be prospects or ML ready guys. Well, if it's prospects we get back, then we'd have that extra $2.5M to spend on something useful, too. I didn't think it needed to be said, but yes... the outcome of any potential trade of Ryan Theriot depends on what we get in return. I was just asked about comparing Theriot and Blanco.
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