nilodnayr

Exactly. There's no risk of him driving the ball, so why waste pitches? Additionally, he'll chase the wasted pitches and drive those into the ground. As a leadoff hitter with over 250 PA only Randy Winn edged him out for least amount of p/pa (by .01).

Anze, hold off so baseballXXXX can make his replacement pick for Cordero.

Man, Cordero would have been such a steal at the end of the 17th round...if he wasn't already picked at the beginning of the 11th.

There are typically 3 results to a Juan Pierre at bat. Ground out to the 2b, ground out to the SS. Ball gets past one of the SS or the 2b. Ok I understand your logic now, but thats your opinion and not statistical evidence. also with your logic the 7 times out of 10 part, umm.... he would be batting .300 hundred which last time I checked was a decent avg. rchap24, Did you post here under a different name? Your name and writing style is very similar to someone else... Maybe not name and writing style, but based on the ideas expoused, the first thing that popped into my mind was that Jim Hendry was visiting the board.

He's on during the day, weekdays, I think we should let him make his pick. Yeah, he said hes on weekdays...he has a little less than an hour.

Cubs odds are always like that because they get a ton of action. Vegas needs to cover itself so they give them bad odds in the off chance that the cubs actually win. I'm assuming that by bad odds you meant good odds because otherwise this sentence doesn't really make any sense, unless I'm just not getting what you're saying. If, as you say, Vegas is covering itself in the off chance the Cubs actually win because so many people bet money on them, then they would want to give the Cubs better than their actual odds (lower number:1), so that if they did win the payout would be smaller. Bad odds or worse than actual odds (higher number:1) would increase the amount the casinos would have to payout. you couldnt just infer that? Bad odds are bad odds. I've never heard good odds referred to as bad odds before. You're a little late, though. He explained it already. He was coming at it from the bettors point of view. I get it now. :oops: What am I to infer from your post, IMB? Hmm, I wonder. Certainly nothing of a personal nature. Oh, and thanks for your response to the evidence on Rusch that you requested and that I PM'd you. You're right, the evidence is undeniably clear and my statements about Rusch are irrefutably supported by them. It was big of you to take the time to respond as graciously as you did. Ohh Ohh, whats the Rusch argument, I want to get in on that!

I was shooting for something a smidge more realistic than BBB and Tim :) In reality we'd be lucky to end up with Willits. Reality is that Wood will rot in AAA behind Orlando Cabrera, and Jones can help them now. Hey, if they don't want to part with Wood, we'll be happy to run Cesar Izturis out there everyday. Oh, wait....maybe happy isn't the correct terminology. Reality is that if we wanted Wood we'd have to give up Jones, Pie, AND a pitching prospect. Wood is a top 10 prospect. I believe I've read that his long term chances as a SS is low...maybe they will give him a shot at 3B or 1B in ST.

I keep thinking that Jones alone has some value, but there are plenty of candidates to put in a package with him......Marshall(or another young pitcher), Eyre, Novoa, etc. Jones has some value, Marshall has some value, add them together and we might actually get something in return.

1-1) Albert Pujols 1-2) Jose Reyes 1-3) Johan Santana 1-4) Alfonso Soriano 1-5) Alex Rodriguez 1-6) Carlos Beltran 1-7) Ryan Howard 1-8) Miguel Cabrera 1-9) Carl Crawford 1-10) Chase Utley 1-11) Derrek Lee 1-12) Chris Carpenter 2-1) David Wright 2-2) Lance Berkman 2-3) Grady Sizemore 2-4) David Ortiz 2-5) Vladimir Guerrero 2-6) Manny Ramirez 2-7) Mark Teixeira 2-8) Travis Hafner 2-9) Derek Jeter 2-10) Carlos Lee 2-11) Matt Holliday 2-12) Carlos Zambrano 3-1) Jake Peavy 3-2) Aramis Ramirez 3-3) Justin Morneau 3-4) Joe Mauer 3-5) Paul Konerko 3-6) Miguel Tejada 3-7) Jason Bay 3-8) Hanley Ramirez 3-9) Jimmy Rollins 3-10) Roy Halladay 3-11) Brandon Webb 3-12) Dan Haren 4-1) Garrett Atkins 4-2) Ichiro 4-3) Vernon Wells 4-4) Brian McCann 4-5) Roy Oswalt 4-6) Felix Hernandez 4-7) Ben Sheets 4-8) Bobby Abreu 4-9) Jeremy Bonderman 4-10) Andruw Jones 4-11) Victor Martinez 4-12) Jermaine Dye 5-1) Michael Young 5-2) Robby Cano 5-3) Rafael Furcal 5-4) Francisco Rodriguez 5-5) Bill Hall 5-6) Cole Hamels 5-7) Brian Roberts 5-8) Joe Nathan 5-9) Adam Dunn 5-10) Ryan Zimmerman 5-11) Carlos Guillen 5-12) Chone Figgins 6-1) Daisuke Matsuzaka 6-2) Jim Thome 6-3) John Lackey 6-4) B.J. Ryan 6-5) Carlos Delgado 6-6) Billy Wagner 6-7) Rocco Baldelli 6-8) Rich Hill 6-9) Troy Glaus 6-10) Justin Verlander 6-11) Aaron Harang 6-12) John Smoltz 7-1) Ian Kinsler 7-2) Johnny Damon 7-3) Mariano Rivera 7-4) Jered Weaver 7-5) Huston Street 7-6) Brett Myers 7-7) Matt Cain 7-8) Scott Kazmir 7-9) Curt Schilling 7-10) Felipe Lopez 7-11) Hideki Matsui 7-12) Nick Swisher 8-1) Bobby Jenks 8-2) Jason Schmidt 8-3) Rickie Weeks 8-4) C.C. Sabathia 8-5) Dan Uggla 8-6) Juan Pierre 8-7) JJ Putz 8-8) Randy Johnson 8-9) Howie Kendrick 8-10) Rich Harden 8-11) Prince Fielder 8-12) Michael Barrett 9-1) Brad Lidge 9-2) Chris Young 9-3) Chipper Jones 9-4) Jeff Francoeur 9-5) Pat Burrell 9-6) Scott Rolen 9-7) Erik Bedard 9-8) Gary Sheffield 9-9) Trevor Hoffman 9-10) Richie Sexson 9-11) Barry Zito 9-12) Dontrelle Willis 10-1) Todd Helton 10-2) Takashi Saito 10-3) Mike Piazza 10-4) Delmon Young 10-5) Chad Cordero 10-6) Josh Beckett 10-7) AJ Burnett 10-8) Jonathan Papelbon 10-9) Tom Gordon 10-10) Julio Lugo 10-11) Barry Bonds 10-12) Corey Patterson 11-1) Chad Tracy 11-2) JD Drew 11-3) Francisco Cordero 11-4) Ervin Santana 11-5) Chris Ray 11-6) Coco Crisp 11-7) Stephen Drew 11-8) Bronson Arroyo 11-9) Jason Giambi 11-10) Brian Fuentes 11-11) Brandon Phillips 11-12) Alex Rios 12-1) Michael Cuddyer 12-2) Jason Isringhausen 12-3) Chien-Ming Wang 12-4) John Patterson 12-5) Magglio Ordonez 12-6) Eric Gagne 12-7) Tadahito Iguchi 12-8) Ryan Freel 12-9) Torii Hunter 12-10) Frank Thomas 12-11) Kelvim Escobar 12-12) Adam LaRoche 13-1)Willy Taveras 13-2) Joel Zumaya 13-3) Raul Ibanez 13-4) Adrian Gonzalez 13-5) Scott Podsednik 13-6) Bob Wickman 13-7) Nick Markakis 13-8) Nomar Garciaparra 13-9) Mike Mussina 13-10) Brad Hawpe 13-11) Dave Bush 13-12) Russell Martin 14-1) Mark Prior 14-2) Eric Chavez 14-3) Kenji Johjima 14-4) Anthony Reyes 14-5) Ramon Hernandez 14-6) Roger Clemens 14-7) Lyle Overbay 14-8) Scott Olsen 14-9) Nate Robertson 14-10) Derek Lowe 14-11) Jonathon Broxton 14-12) Chuck James 15-1) Hank Blalock 15-2) Aubrey Huff 15-3) Jorge Posada 15-4) Chris Capuano 15-5) Javier Vazquez 15-6) Octavio Dotel 15-7) Joe Crede 15-8) Josh Willingham 15-9) Josh Barfield 15-10) Brad Penny 15-11) Ivan Rodriguez 15-12) Jhonny Peralta 16-1) Adam Wainwright 16-2) Andy Pettitte 16-3) Jose Valverde 16-4) Alex Gordon 16-5) Anibal Sanchez 16-6) Solomon Torres 16-7) Keith Foulke 16-8) Bengie Molina 16-9) Dustin Pedroia 16-10) Pedro Martinez 16-11) Moises Alou 16-12) Ryan Dempster 17-1)Ray Durham 17-2) Josh Johnson 17-3) Mike Gonzalez 17-4) Chris Young 17-5) Ted Lilly 17-6) Greg Maddux 17-7) Mark Teahen 17-8) Jon Garland 17-9) B.J. Upton I might as well have the all freakin DRays team. 7 of the last 10 picks were at the top of my board....bullocks.

If the Cubs were to win the World Series, you'd win 9,000 dollars. If you put 1,000 on the Rays, you'd win 350,000 :shock: Read it again...IPT was making a joke.

Difference is, Sheets used it last year, Prior didn't. Sheets is supposed to be healthy next year, Prior isn't.

I was shooting for something a smidge more realistic than BBB and Tim :) In reality we'd be lucky to end up with Willits.

If you believe that every team that gets in the playoffs has an equal shot at winning the WS (1/8). Then you are basically saying that the Red Sox have an 89% chance of making the playoffs. And in order to do so, as Nate Silver shows, that would mean the Red Sox would have to be projected to win 102 games.

Cubs odds are always like that because they get a ton of action. Vegas needs to cover itself so they give them bad odds in the off chance that the cubs actually win. I'm assuming that by bad odds you meant good odds because otherwise this sentence doesn't really make any sense, unless I'm just not getting what you're saying. If, as you say, Vegas is covering itself in the off chance the Cubs actually win because so many people bet money on them, then they would want to give the Cubs better than their actual odds (lower number:1), so that if they did win the payout would be smaller. Bad odds or worse than actual odds (higher number:1) would increase the amount the casinos would have to payout. sorry, to clarify, i meant bad odds from a better's perspective

Sean Rodriguez?

Assuming Koskie is a no go (last report was a month ago that he hadn't resumed baseball activity and in this case no news is bad news), the only way Braun breaks with the team is if he has a fantastic spring. Reports I've heard are that they will start with Graffanino/Counsell at 3B. Hopefully that wont last into May. Stupid Brewers. Agreed. But at least the Jenkins/Mench platoon will be incredibly productive.

Assuming Koskie is a no go (last report was a month ago that he hadn't resumed baseball activity and in this case no news is bad news), the only way Braun breaks with the team is if he has a fantastic spring. Reports I've heard are that they will start with Graffanino/Counsell at 3B. Hopefully that wont last into May.

Cubs odds are always like that because they get a ton of action. Vegas needs to cover itself so they give them bad odds in the off chance that the cubs actually win.

I believe its in his contract, so I'm guessing he'll still take an inning off. Its not like Masur is Zambrano or something...he can easily be replaced.

You can very much be an everyday active manager in a roto league with an IP limit... I am. Yes, without an add/drop or IP limit your average stats will suffer at the benefit of your cumulative stats, but I just like the even playing field IP limits provide. Plus I believe you should try to do your best in every category and not punt any. Frankly, I think its more difficult (which is a good thing) to manage with a limit.

1200 is nothing. 1300 is better. 1300 works for me. I like having a max so people keep fairly consistant rotations and don't do the whole add/drop game. I also like more than one DL spot because there is a good chance that 2 of your starters will be hurt at the same time and you shouldnt be punished for that.

6 bench spots (22 rounds) 2 DL spots 1200 max IP Yea or Nay

5x5 means 5 hitting categories and 5 pitching categories. Typically these are BA, HR, R, RBI, SB for hitters and W, K, WHIP, S, ERA for pitchers. These are standard roto (rotisserie) categories. If you have 10 teams then for example, whoever ends up with the most HRs, gets 10 points, second most, 9 points, etc. Add up all the points you have in the 10 categories and whoever has the most wins. As far as playing for money, I am in a league with a bunch of friends and friends of friends. We each pay $100 at the beginning of the year and the top 3 finishers place in the money. I think its fun and at the very least if you do well you have some little reward for spending 50 hours on draft strategy and 30 min each day for 6 months setting up your rosters, attempting trades, monitoring your teams. Also, a little secret is to pick a couple players on west coast teams, that way, when you are out at a bar that sucks at least you have a vested interest in the baseball game on TV...sure beats, you know, talking to girls.

I really want Lackey on my team. I had weaver a spot higher on my board than lackey, but just realized that PECOTA has a 63% collapse rate for Weaver!! And an 87% breakout/improve rate for Lackey. Now you may say, well duh, of course weaver has such a high collapse rate, he was a rookie last year. Well, Verlander and Billingsley have collapse rates in the 40s. Rich Hill's is only 15%. I'm definitely now second guessing having Weaver so high on my board.

I like 23. Also, what were we thinking for max IP? 1350? Check that, I suggest 22 rounds since we are only having 3 OFs...just realized that. Thoughts?