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Catman61

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Everything posted by Catman61

  1. Catman61
    A nice thought but completely unprovable (or disprovable for that matter) I don't need proof to tell me that HFA would not mattered in either the Yankees or the Cardinals. I have proof that the Marlins and Red Sox outplayed their opponent and won in their opposition's stadium. Given that Marlins and Red Sox without a doubt outplayed their our opponent are you saying HFA actually occured and that the resuls would have been different? B/c, I'll say it didn't matter, the Marlins and Red Sox would've won regardless where it was played. They way they outplayed them is my proof and more than overwhelming evidence. Sorry but it isn't. I am not saying the Cards WOULD have won had the NL had HFA but I think without a doubt that it would have been far more competitive. But as I said I cannot prove that it would have made a difference just as you cannot prove it wouldn't.
  2. Catman61
    That might have made some sense if Clemens didn't start last year with Piazza catching. Why does that second comment make any difference? Ummm, didn't the Clemens-Piazza battery give up 6 runs in the first inning last year? Was that because of the "feud" or because Clemens did a bad job of pitching? I don't pretend to know, what I do know is combining a pitcher & catcher who have a hatred or at least severe dislike of each other is less likely to obtain optimum results and any manager in any type of business should try to avoid forcing that combo if possible.
  3. Catman61
    A nice thought but completely unprovable (or disprovable for that matter)
  4. Catman61
    That might have made some sense if Clemens didn't start last year with Piazza catching. Why does that second comment make any difference? Ummm, didn't the Clemens-Piazza battery give up 6 runs in the first inning last year?
  5. Catman61
    The difference in batting average is approx 5 hits, the difference in walks is 89
  6. Catman61
    If the Cardinal pitching continues like its last 5 games (9 ER 43 IP 1.88 ERA) and still winning 60% of the games, it may not matter much.
  7. Catman61
    Actually Edmonds is batting in the second hole and has been for about a month. 17 games 57 AB batting 2nd 37 games 127 AB batting 4th 14 games 50 AB batting 5th 5 games 10 AB batting 6th
  8. Catman61
    If the Nationals aren't going to win the division, thus being relegated to the WC then you have to consider the gap as 8.5 (the games the Cubs are behind WAS) and not the 6 games they are behind the Braves. And a 38-36 record gets the Nationals to 90 wins which has been pretty much the minimum for the WC.
  9. Catman61
    that's why its amazing to me that phil rogers still picks Albert as the 1st half MVP. He is unreal. My favorite part of that is when Phil says that Pujols edges out Lee in runs created. I think "wait, that doesn't sound right." Then in the next sentence, I found out that he was referring to the made-up-by-Phil-Rogers version of runs created. Does he not know that its a real stat? And one in which Derrek leads by a pretty good margin? And that that stat actually means something, while his means close to nothing? Thing is, MOST of the writers who will be voting on the MVP think the same way Rogers does (ie his version of runs created) and don't (or won't) get much farther in stats after avg/HR/RBI than OBP/SLG/OPS and sometimes not even that far.
  10. Catman61
    Last time I looked there were still some 75 or so games to be played or more than 45% of the season.
  11. Catman61
    When they won 105 games and went to the World Series? Last year sucked. As I recall Morris and Carpenter weren't a huge part of that by the end of the season because of ineffectiveness and injury respectively. Carpenter went down with nerve irritation in his elbow late in the season and Morris battled all year. But the each had 15 wins when it was all said and done, so 30 wins between them. Nothing to scoff at. Morris had 15 wins because of great run support. His ERA was a gaudy 4.72. Most of the time, that does not get you 15 wins. Except for the fact that great run support wasn't the reason he got 15 wins. Morris only had 3 "cheap" wins (Game Score under 50), he also had 3 ND with a Game Score well over 50. Morris was the epitome of Jekyll & Hyde last year, when he was good he was very good and when he was bad he was very bad. Morris' 5.88 RS had about as much to do wth his 15 wins as Zambrano's 6.05 had to do with his 16 despite the vast difference in ERA
  12. Catman61
    Might be something as simple as trying to minimize Mulder's day starts which have been horrific.
  13. Catman61
    If it were me, I wouldn't want my rival to keep a pitcher who's got a career 97-53 record, 1.25 WHIP, and 3.50 ERA, and is still only 30 years old. You missed the most important stat 11-3 career record vs the Cubs
  14. Catman61
    yeah, because you see lots of people going around saying "maddux is back" :roll: And your point is?
  15. Catman61
    I wasn't griping, just pointing out facts. If you notice I also posted that the cubs are doing what's expected of them giving their runs scored and have a record equal to their RPI which indicates they are truly a .500 team. As far as playing yourself....the cubs have only faced the cards twice this year and their SOS is 25 points higher And the facts are that of the 162 games that each team will play, 14 games are different. This isn't like college football where top teams often don't face common opponents and you only play 1 game per year vs any team (sans playoffs) Of the 146 games not played vs each other, 132 are vs the same teams the same number of times. The facts are also that for a large part of the season the SOS can be somewhat distorted because of who HAS been played and not reflecting the common opponents YET to be played and/or the imbalance in the the number of games already played vs common opponents with same number of games against (such as Cardinals have played 6 of 16 vs MIL while the Cubs have played 13 of 16)
  16. Catman61
    Don't you mean an expected record of 6.2-4.7? (must have been updated since you posted as it lists Morris' luck factor at 7.49 now) Greg Maddux also ranks in the top 10 in luck with an expected record of 5.2-6.7 which is basically the reverse of his actual 7-5 record. Might have something to do with his top 5 RS in the NL. If you use Game Scores, Morris has 2 cheap wins, 1 ND that should have been a loss and 3 ND that should have been wins
  17. Catman61
    Well, the Cardinals don't have 16 games vs an opponent with a .634 win%. Substitute 16 games with a .634 opponent for 16 games with a .494 opponent and see what that does to your SOS. The Cardinals play 80 games in the NL Central where currently they are the only team at or over .500 and the Cubs play 79 games where 63 games are vs sub .500 teams and 16 are vs the best record in the NL. Other than the 6 games the Cubs played he ChiSox (and tell me you expected them to have the best record in baseball) and the Cards 3/3 with TB/KC the schedules are pretty similar although most of those differences are not in the Cubs favor Cubs have +2 with FLA +1 with ATL +1 with SF -1 with CIN -1 with LA -1 with NYM -1 with COL
  18. Catman61
    Since the addition of the WC (excluding the shortened 144 game 1995 season) no NL team has won the WC with less than 90 wins The Braves also have the 2nd best run differential in the NL at +67(3rd in RS, 2nd in RA) That may be true but their record vs the NL East is 24-18 and the Cubs record vs the NL Central is 18-15.
  19. Catman61
    The 2003 team won 88 games, this year that will not be enough to win the division and 90 wins has pretty much been the minimum for the WC.
  20. Catman61
    this is LaRussa -Cardinals manager Tony La Russa winces when asked about Perez's being perhaps the best backup middle infielder in the big leagues, saying he looks at him as a regular- Everything else is Rogers
  21. Catman61
    Probably should assuming he pitches in the ASG and is given 4 days rest starting on the 5th day that would put him on schedule to start the Fri Jul 22nd game.
  22. Catman61
    Last 4 starts 4-0 33-2/3 IP 1 ER 0.27 ERA 0.56 WHIP lowers his 2004 ERA to 2.60
  23. Catman61
    Pssst, its Jayson Stark :wink:
  24. Catman61
    The timing may be questionable but the Rockies ARE a 2nd division team, highest win total is 83, have had a winning record once in the last 7 seasons. And that still doesn't answer the question of why you listen to a broadcaster that you KNOW is a blatant homer and then have a conniption fit when he says something you don't like or think is ill-timed.
  25. Catman61
    Because they are? If a bad team(KC, TB) wins a game (or 2) from a good team, are they still not a bad team? Does 10-6 and 7-0 not count exactly the same in the standings? If the Cardinals take the next 3 games in convincing fashion will you come back and revise your comments to say that Hrabosky was right? If you despise the guy so much, why do you listen to him? Masochistic streak?
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