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There's just too much redundancy between the profiles of Ian Happ and Seiya Suzuki. Their contracts speak to the degree of similarity between them. Each is playing for $20 million in 2024, and the Cubs owe $36 million to Suzuki through 2026, while they're due to pay Happ $38 million over the same term. Each player has been a very good hitter when healthy and thriving, though each has also gone through fallow, frustrating stretches over the last two seasons.
Recently, it's become gallingly clear that the two can't coexist for a Cubs team that hopes to accomplish anything serious. There was a risk of this going back a year or more, but the team tried to work around it, hoping for defensive improvements from Suzuki or more consistent power production from both as hitters. Neither thing has happened.
Suzuki is not a big-league right fielder. He just can't track the ball well enough, can't consistently make plays at 80 percent of his maximal range, can't adequately handle difficult elements like unlucky light placement, bright sunshine, rain, wind, and outfield walls. That was on display again Monday night, on a play that helped cost the Cubs the game (albeit in a very subtle way).
Suzuki's error in Atlanta late last September will live in Cubs infamy, but it doesn't come close to standing alone. He shows flashes of great defensive skill, but he's wildly inconsistent, and misses too many catchable balls in big moments. This conversation is over. If the Cubs are serious about winning, Suzuki can't finish the season as their right fielder, let alone head into 2025 as one.
That means moving him either to designated hitter, or to left field. As the Cubs also try to develop young players Pete Crow-Armstrong and Michael Busch, sliding him into the DH spot is close to untenable, too, because it puts the squeeze to one of Crow-Armstrong, Busch, or Cody Bellinger on any given day. More importantly, though, Christopher Morel also isn't a big-league third baseman, so he'll soon need to start being the DH even more often.
In short, the Cubs need to decide between Suzuki and Happ, make the one in whom they believe more strongly their left fielder, and trade the other. This is the best chance they'll get to extract significant value from a trade partner for either player, and it's the right moment to get greater clarity about their future in the outfield. There are even more aggressive, creative solutions on the table--moving Morel himself to right field, for instance--but they come with even bigger drawbacks than exploring a trade of either Happ or Suzuki.
Yes, either player has the right to reject a trade, and yes, that hurts the Cubs a little bit. They'd need to find a trade fit that either player would be willing to accept, which would compromise their leverage in some negotiations. They could and should find such a fit, though. At this point, the no-trade clauses are just part of the sunk cost attached to each player, and should be treated as a hurdle to be cleared, rather than a brick wall to be stared at and bemoaned.
The 2024 Cubs are not a serious contender, and shouldn't try to force their way back to that status. It won't work, and it will hurt the team in the long run to make the attempt. The team needs to reset and look forward, and part of that pivot should be an acknowledgment that their core is flawed and insufficient. Trading either Suzuki or Happ is an important step toward building a core that can actually accomplish something. Neither can play right field, and neither can hit like a star-caliber left fielder or DH. They need to discard one, create some space for young players, and gain either more young talent or new financial flexibility for building their roster from 2025 to the end of the decade. Delaying or eschewing that move only means persisting in the self-delusion that has mired them in this swamp of semi-competent non-contenderhood.
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