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    Cubs-Brewers Game One Thread, By The Numbers

    The Cubs head up I-94 to open the NLDS to face the Brewers. Join our game thread!

    Brock Beauchamp
    Image courtesy of © David Banks-Imagn Images

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    Milwaukee and Chicago open their series at American Family Field today at 1:08 p.m. CDT, with right-hander Freddy Peralta scheduled for the Brewers and left-hander Matthew Boyd for the Cubs. 

    Peralta threw 176 2/3 innings across 33 starts with a 2.70 ERA, a 3.65 FIP, a 28.2 percent strikeout rate, and a 9.1 percent walk rate. He allowed 1.07 home runs per nine innings. Boyd logged 179 2/3 innings in 31 starts with a 3.21 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His strikeout rate was 21.4 percent with a 5.8 percent walk rate, and he allowed 0.95 home runs per nine innings. 

    Brewers Offense
    Milwaukee’s offense produced a .322 wOBA and a 107 wRC+. Brice Turang led regulars with a .346 wOBA and a 124 wRC+ across 659 plate appearances. William Contreras had 659 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 113 wRC+. Christian Yelich added a .343 wOBA and a 121 wRC+ in 644 plate appearances. Sal Frelick logged 594 plate appearances with a .332 wOBA and a 114 wRC+, and Jackson Chourio had 589 plate appearances with a .328 wOBA and a 111 wRC+. 

    Matthew Boyd vs. Milwaukee Brewers: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Andrew Vaughn R 14 12 3 2 0 1 1 2 4 .250 .357 .667 1.024 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Jake Bauers L 11 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .091 .091 .091 .182 0 0 0 0 0
    3 Christian Yelich L 11 11 3 1 0 1 2 0 3 .273 .273 .636 .909 0 0 0 0 0
    4 William Contreras R 9 9 4 0 0 1 1 0 0 .444 .444 .778 1.222 0 0 0 0 1
    5 Brice Turang L 8 7 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 .286 .250 .286 .536 0 1 0 0 0
    6 Isaac Collins B 6 5 1 0 0 0 2 1 1 .200 .333 .200 .533 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Sal Frelick L 6 5 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 .400 .500 .400 .900 0 0 0 0 0
    8 Joey Ortiz R 6 6 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 .167 .167 .167 .333 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Caleb Durbin R 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 .000 .200 .000 .200 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Brandon Lockridge R 4 3 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 .333 .500 .667 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Jackson Chourio R 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 .000 .667 .000 .667 0 0 0 0 0
    12 Rhys Hoskins R 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 .500 .667 .500 1.167 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Blake Perkins B 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    Cubs Offense
    Chicago’s offense finished with a .325 wOBA and a 110 wRC+. Kyle Tucker had 597 plate appearances with a .363 wOBA and a 136 wRC+. Michael Busch posted a .369 wOBA and a 140 wRC+ over 592 plate appearances. Seiya Suzuki contributed a .343 wOBA and a 123 wRC+ in 651 plate appearances. At the top of the order, Pete Crow-Armstrong and Nico Hoerner each recorded a 109 wRC+, with Crow-Armstrong adding 31 home runs and 35 steals and Hoerner adding 29 steals. 

    Freddy Peralta vs. Chicago Cubs: Current Batters Table
    Rk Player B PA AB H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS SH SF IBB HBP GIDP
    1 Ian Happ B 38 32 2 0 0 1 2 6 14 .063 .211 .156 .367 0 0 0 0 0
    2 Nico Hoerner R 31 28 5 3 0 1 5 2 5 .179 .258 .393 .651 0 0 0 1 0
    3 Seiya Suzuki R 27 23 3 0 0 1 3 4 12 .130 .259 .261 .520 0 0 0 0 0
    4 Dansby Swanson R 22 20 2 0 0 1 1 2 8 .100 .182 .250 .432 0 0 1 0 0
    5 Michael Busch L 20 16 2 0 0 2 2 4 7 .125 .300 .500 .800 0 0 0 0 0
    6 Kyle Tucker L 15 11 5 1 0 0 0 4 1 .455 .600 .545 1.145 0 0 0 0 0
    7 Pete Crow-Armstrong L 13 11 5 1 0 1 3 1 1 .455 .500 .818 1.318 1 0 0 0 0
    8 Carson Kelly R 11 10 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 .100 .182 .100 .282 0 0 0 0 0
    9 Justin Turner R 8 8 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 .125 .125 .125 .250 0 0 0 0 0
    10 Willi Castro B 7 7 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 .143 .143 .143 .286 0 0 0 0 0
    11 Matt Shaw R 6 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 .000 .167 .000 .167 0 0 0 1 0
    12 Moisés Ballesteros L 2 2 1 1 0 0 3 0 0 .500 .500 1.000 1.500 0 0 0 0 0
    13 Reese McGuire L 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    14 Jameson Taillon R 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 .000 .000 .000 .000 0 0 0 0 0
    Provided by Stathead.com: Found with Stathead. See Full Results.
    Generated 10/4/2025.

    From a run-prevention standpoint, Peralta’s profile paired a high strikeout rate with a FIP close to his ERA. Boyd’s season line showed comparable FIP to ERA with fewer walks and a lower home-run rate. 

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    Featured Comments

    Irrelevant Dude

    Posted

    Just now, Pinerider said:

    I'm getting Miggy 2003 vibes with this kid and I think he's capable of big things in this series at the plate. If Tucker could play RF that would obviously be ideal.

    Then what would you do with Seiya, who has been one of the team's best hitters?  I do think Mo is a quality hitter who is only going to get better, but there just isn't a spot for him right now.

    minnesotacubsfan

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    I don't blame Jed for not getting another starter at the deadline in retrospect considering what the asking prices were for the top shelf ones. Kelley and Bieber were pretty good, but not great additions. The Cubs staff has been really good in the second half. It's the hitting that went from the 3rd most runs scored before the All Star break to 13th. I'm more worried about the top and middle of the order than the pitching staff. 

    disagree. Alcantara changes the post season dramatically  

    cubfansince77

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    I'm just sitting here sulking in this performance (although the series is far from over) and thinking, I really want Schwarber next year.  I know Jed won't do it, but give me that elite power bat in the lineup.

    I hear you ID...losing him for nothing is an all time Eff up. Worse than the Brock/Broglio trade IMO

    Tangled Up in Plaid

    Posted

    Cubs need to put a ton of resources into getting Mo to be an average C.

    • Like 2
    Lagartijo

    Posted

    This team is such an enigma. They were able to hit, pitch, defend and win a series against a really tough team in the Padres but right now they look like a little league baseball team. Very embarrassing to see. I hope they play better the rest of the series

    Derwood

    Posted

    May be an illustration of text that says 'Michael Busch leadoff home run Literally everything that has happened since 3'

    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
    Wilson A2000

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    I'm just sitting here sulking in this performance (although the series is far from over) and thinking, I really want Schwarber next year.  I know Jed won't do it, but give me that elite power bat in the lineup.

    I would like Schwarber too, but are you assuming that Tucker is going somewhere else? I think he will because someone is going to pay Tucker despite his uneven 2025 and it's not going to be Jed. I also don't see Tucker signing a shorter deal either. 

    cubfansince77

    Posted

    Just now, Tangled Up in Plaid said:

    Cubs need to put a ton of resources into getting Mo to be an average C.

    I agree, would be huge. Is it plausible to send him to Arizona Fall League to do so or not? Kelly and Amaya make a nice duo but Miguel's health is sketchy

    Guest

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Tangled Up in Plaid said:

    Cubs need to put a ton of resources into getting Mo to be an average C.

    Definitely. Got work him bigtime at catcher this winter

    Irrelevant Dude

    Posted

    Just now, Wilson A2000 said:

    I would like Schwarber too, but are you assuming that Tucker is going somewhere else?

    Absolutely

    Derwood

    Posted

    At least I have the 0-4 UCLA Bruins driving down the field for a score against my Nittany Lions to distract me

    squally1313

    Posted

    In a perfect world we bring back the same four outfielders and Ballesteros gets 2026 to learn catcher and hit .400 in Iowa. Given the way the payroll has been trending, one of the outfielders, at least, is likely gone and Moises is the DH next year. 

    Stratos

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Irrelevant Dude said:

    Exactly why Jed won't do it, and perhaps rightfully so.  But that doesn't stop me from wanting him!

    My expectation for this offseason is that Tucker walks and they fill his spot in-house with Seiya and Mo/Caissie/Alcantara/Long and maybe a FA RHB platoon bat.  I don't see any major position player acquisitions happening.  They'll need to bank on improvements from young guys like PCA, Shaw, Amaya and the rookies to help make up a bit for losing Tucker.

    I think they do the usual with the pitching by grabbing bargain pen arms and try to acquire a good value deal at SP like Imanaga/Boyd were.

    Some people won't like me saying this but I think this is what's most likely to happen.  Hoyer surprised us with the Tucker trade so maybe he does something bold again.  We have a guy like Conrad they could deal.

    minnesotacubsfan

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    I would like Schwarber too, but are you assuming that Tucker is going somewhere else? I think he will because someone is going to pay Tucker despite his uneven 2025 and it's not going to be Jed. I also don't see Tucker signing a shorter deal either. 

    Caissie

    Wilson A2000

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, minnesotacubsfan said:

    disagree. Alcantara changes the post season dramatically  

    I just can't blame Jed for not wanting to give up a ton of assets for a guy who had been as hot and cold (and mostly cold) at that point as Alcantara was 

    Irrelevant Dude

    Posted

    Just now, squally1313 said:

    In a perfect world we bring back the same four outfielders and Ballesteros gets 2026 to learn catcher and hit .400 in Iowa.

    I don't think you can keep his bat in Iowa any longer.  He needs to be seeing big league pitching at this point, and the Cubs just might have to let him learn to catch on the fly.

    • Like 3
    Cuzi

    Posted

    Ballesteros has 794 PA's in AAA. Why send him back to AAA after 66 PAs in MLB with a 143 wRC+?

    minnesotacubsfan

    Posted

    3 minutes ago, Wilson A2000 said:

    I just can't blame Jed for not wanting to give up a ton of assets for a guy who had been as hot and cold (and mostly cold) at that point as Alcantara was 

    a ton of assests who cant crack the starting lineup

     

     

    squally1313

    Posted

    Just now, Cuzi said:

    Ballesteros has 794 PA's in AAA. Why send him back to AAA after 66 PAs in MLB with a 143 wRC+?

    Because he can’t catch and our DH is a better hitter. 

    • Like 1
    Lagartijo

    Posted

    Surprisingly, Shaw has been the only one besides Busch to put up good at bats today

    Geographyhater8888

    Posted

    There’s a surplus of pretty good players and a deficit of any perennial all star talents.

    Stratos

    Posted

    Brewers have scored 9 runs with no HR.   I guess this is how they do it.

    Soul

    Posted

    11 minutes ago, Derwood said:

    May be an illustration of text that says 'Michael Busch leadoff home run Literally everything that has happened since 3'

    Awesome. Hahah.

    Wilson A2000

    Posted

    5 minutes ago, Pinerider said:

    Definitely. Got work him bigtime at catcher this winter

    He's not going to get starts next year over Amaya and Kelly no matter how much he improves in the offseason. I just don't think you become a good catcher in an offseason he's probably already older than you'd like to develop into a MLB caliber one. The Cubs value how a catcher handles the staff too much (see letting Contreras walk as evidence). Mo is a DH. 




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