How quickly things change in baseball. Here is the first post: As of right now Sammy has 450 hrs for his career. He needs 306 more to surpass Aaron. I don't believe that there's another player in MLB that has a shot at the record. That is, unless Bonds can play until he's 44 or 45, which wouldn't surprise me. Even so, given the fact that Sammy is just now coming into his prime, he could eclipse the mark by the time he's 40! That would be, as they say, Ruthian! Add a couple of WS rings to Sammy's fingers and you have a HOF legend! I remember those years, Sosa just came off a 64 homer season, and we all thought he would go on forever. Now i hear people saying Sammy has lost bat speed and it looks like Sammy will top out at around 45 homers or so. It looks less and less likely that he will break Aaron's record. So I guess the new question is will he break 700 homers?