Crusader
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Everything posted by Crusader
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Nikki no power swinging bunt -
Wish he had just tanked Severino for being in the base line, about all Mervis is good for so far.
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Time for a 2 run dinger.
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Might as well give Madrigal or Wisdom more ABs if Morel and Mervis are putting up -5 +RC and 78, respectively.
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He does. He said it’s the result of the injury he suffered when he was 16.
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Hopefully they get overused down the stretch and run out of gas (like the Cubs did last year), the Cubs were second in least amount of innings from starters, and the Brewers are in first. If Imanaga and our starters start going deeper hopefully that gives us the separation down the stretch that we need.
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2 pitchers go the distance. A thing of beauty.
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Keegan has just been beastly, so glad we don’t have to see Cuas anymore.
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Good horsefeathers P. Wiz.
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Excellent time for Imanaga to go deep. They play a bunch of games in a row this stretch, so anything to keep pressure off the bullpen really helps,
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More good ABs and contact with pitches in the zone from PCA
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Good teams ABs. They are punishing that splitter.
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Yeah, he has such a weird throwing position, I use to short arm throw like that, but most people who do it we do it from behind our head like a catcher. He does it from his shoulder, it’s so odd.
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Morel’s defense has been so much smoother lately.
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Splitter.
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Good hit by PCA
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Umpire with a Matt Mervis assist on a hit. Hell yeah.
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Both Mervis and PCA in the lineup. N. Hoerner2B 27-90 0 7 1 .300 M. TauchmanRF 17-57 2 7 0 .298 I. HappLF 20-84 1 12 0 .238 C. Morel3B 18-88 3 11 1 .205 M. Busch1B 21-79 6 16 0 .266 D. SwansonSS 21-89 3 11 3 .236 M. MervisDH 0-6 0 0 0 .000 M. AmayaC 12-48 1 9 0 .250 P. Crow-ArmstrongCF 1-4 1 2 0 .250
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It was ST, but Killian actually looked interesting too. Hopefully whenever he comes back he's still got that 100 mph velo in the tank.
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Ahh, okay, so average zone-contact, if I'm reading this right on savant on strikes is 82%, and Wisdom was at 73.7%, which would have him below average (which makes sense), and Pete Crow's so far is at about 50% (small sample size of 20 some ABs) MLB stats. Is that why you use TruMedia to get access to AAA stats? I wish there was some way to measure when they take emergency swings to factor those out to calculate a true contact % rate.
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Are we using different sources for getting in zone contact %? I'm using baseball savant, or is there a better site out there?
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I think I actually disagree with one of your overarching conclusions that you’re basing your entire analysis on i.e. that in zone contact % = hit tool. I think it probably should depend on a combination of others factors, and I’m pretty hesitant to even make a suggestion as to what those other factors are. Probably some combination of zone contact %, K-rate, and barrel %, exit velocity, and launch angle? Otherwise, you’re also suggesting Patrick Wisdom has a marginally above average hit tool (73.7% in 2022 when he faced both lefties and righties), and I don’t think that’s something anyone on this board would agree with.
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Well, I was also referencing the ST ABs, but true enough lol. 😂
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If you’re not a fan of some of the scouting on FG anymore, fair enough. It depends on who did the scouting, what part of the season they saw, but nonetheless, there are experts, that actually get paid to do this, that have some concerns. As far as the sample set goes, I’d refer you to a very confident 1908 on PSD in 2023 where he stated that 60 ABs was a sizeable enough sample set to draw conclusions from. I’d also argue that saying he has an average AAA hit tool in his second go-around in AAA doesn’t somehow mean his hit tool isn’t a problem in MLB. Yes, he’s still younger than league average, so there’s hope for some development down the road. Theres also a big difference between AAA pitching and MLB pitching, as well as AAA hitting and MLB hitting. An average AAA hit tool is a below average MLB hit tool, and having a 30% K rate at AAA is pretty concerning. As we saw in the ABs yesterday, he was also getting beaten down in the zone as well. It’s not like he’s only getting high fastballs he cannot catch up to where there’s just one thing that needs to be fixed. As it stands, he has a below average hit tool for MLB. Hopefully that’s something he can improve upon as he develops. Is there some pressing going on? Most definitely, but there’s more going on here under the hood.
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No, I'm sorry. Yes, he also has swing decision problems, but his hit tool is very much a major problem on top of that. He only has a projected hit tool of 35 by fangraphs with hopefully a 40 grade at his peak. He had 48.5% zone contact rate last year in his MLB plate appearances... He's sitting at 50% in his 4 ABs so far this year. That's absolutely atrocious. Even someone like Patrick Wisdom is at 73% for making contact for balls in the strike zone. He's still a prospect, and maybe he figures things out, but if you're not majorly concerned with his contact rate, you should be. I couldn't pull up his AAA numbers to see how they compare, but small sample size it's not great so far. The only reason PCA is up right now is because his floor is so high based on gold glove defense. His offensive profile has been a mess. Bringing him up and throwing him into the fire like this is a bit of a disservice to him, but we're trying to win games, and we don't really have much CF depth. Crazier things have happened before, and maybe things do just click for him, and again, I'd be so happy for him if it did, but he's probably going to take kidney shot after kidney shot here for a while.
