What did we go through selling our heroes off for? To be here now: just a few pieces from a new core for years
And we are indeed here, or, we have definitely made our choices: The Cubs are locked in long-term at 2b, SS, LF, RF - no change possible.
We are also locked in at 3b and DH, despite contrary opinion: Both Morel and Madrigal must be in the lineup every day.
It's insane to old heads, but Justin Turner is currently 10th in the NL in BA at just .278. .278! I find it impossible to believe that there's truly no spot in the modern MLB for a guy who is a GUARANTEED top 10 BA guy year in and year out like Madrigal would definitely be. I hold this truth on principle, but I also think his OBP and SLG would not be so atrocious as others think. If Madrigal could hit .299 - totally realistic - he'd currently be 4th in NL in BA. Crazy, but true, and you can't tell me a guy who is 4th in BA is a 4A player. His original nickname was "Nicky 3,000" after all, and not "Nicky 2 strikes", after the 3,000 hits he could get if he could avoid being "Nicky Medical". Morel is by far the most dynamic bat we have, and his game has matured this year in a way no one could imagine. Both of these cheap guys need to share DH and 3B and develop - hopefully both do. Locked in.
We are locked in - if we're smart - with Steele, Taillon, Stroman and - assuming his first 9 starts are maintainable - Hendricks through next year. CF will be manned by PCA next year (spoiler: there's not many HR there, FYI). C is being held by Jhanny Bench Gomes and Barnart, with Amaya as the obvious future. All locked-in pieces.
Where does that leave us? We NEED TO USE OUR MANY ASSETS to get a slugging 1B, a closer and a #2 strikeouting starter.
Baseball Prospectus has us having a whopping 52 legit prospects - Matt Mervis is just #46, to give some indication of how deep we are. The kool-aid is strong on our farm right now, we have only these 3 actual spots to improve, we cannot improve in ANY OTHER spots as we have made our choices already, and we have NO ROOM for all these prospects, many of which came over during the Cubpocalypse.
So trade away our assets now, again? What on EARTH do we need more prospects for? Why on earth would we do ANOTHER white flag trade, and with this division? Why would we commit to Seiya, Happ, Hoerner and (we should) Stroman if we're not competing now?
We get these 3 things and WE ARE SET - that's our team, for better or for worse. A slugging 1B is the top priority because we have NO other place who can give SLG - every other lineup spot is set. We have to get a closer because our original plan - create a closer via our great bullpen development from the farm - went out with Codi Heuer's elbow; WS contenders have lockdown closers, and we do not. Sure we'd love a true #1 Ace but with Steele, Stroman and another #2, one who can provide us with the strikeouts/lane-changing game to game look we need - that's a darn good 3-headed monster for the playoffs; that's one which can actually win.
So they MUST USE as many of these 52 prospects AS IT TAKES to get these 3 things THIS YEAR because WE HAVE OUR TEAM ALREADY, practically.
The only untouchable prospects are PCA, Horton, a guy who might be the Strikeouting ace we need and Caissie, a guy who might be the HR monster we need at 1b/DH. Morel is untouchable because he's the only guy who has some of what we most definitely need and can only get from a new 1b - HR and SLG power, so that'd be robbing Peter to pay Paul. I wouldn't like it but Madrigal can be traded in the right deal, I suppose. I wouldn't like it but Amaya can be traded in the right deal, as we have some C prospects and Jhanny Bench/Barnhart do so very well calling games. But ONLY for these 3 needs, and 1b is by far the most urgent need on our team.
Wake up! We have our team already! From what I see there aren't hardly any 1b FA this offseason, so use our vast quantity of good-not-great prospects to get one. Use Jordan Wicks, possibly next year's Caleb Killian, or Alcantara, who could become next year's Brennan Davis - the point is STOP overrating prospects cuz we have TOO MANY already. Use them to BUY!
And we have just literally a few true holes: a homer-heavy 1b, a Strikeouting #2ish SP, a closer.
That's a team that actually could go all the way. What else was the Cubpocalypse for? We're closer than we think, but not if we hoard prospects like it's August 2020, still! It ain't!
I think the Cubs brass knows this - they gave out the contracts I talked about - so if they don't come thru with those 3 needs this year as it's SO CLEARLY the correct move - it's off with their head, in honor of yesterday's Bastille Day.