On a day where the wind is blowing straight out, a 4-run lead is nothing. For all the times the Cubs have come back from 2-3-4 run deficits early in the game, one would think that there would be occasions where the reverse would happen. Last I checked, though, the wind is still blowing out, and the Cubs are still the highest scoring team in the NL. Does that guarantee victory? Absolutely not. But it's not absurd. The wind blowing out has nothing to do with walking the bases loaded.