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javy knows my name

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Everything posted by javy knows my name

  1. javy knows my name
    I'm back in. Holy semantical gymnastics! His answer is right there, in black and white. But yes, when you completely divorce his answer from the context and make a ton of assumptions independent of the text, yes, he COULD mean something else by it. You're normally literal to a fault. Now you're reaching God knows where and completely ignoring the textual evidence in front of you because YOU believe that a scout should know these things. Well you know what? I believe our development team should use a computer to compile stats on our minor leaguers rather than a pencil and paper. This organization isn't chock full of people who know what we think they should know or do what we think they should do. The organization in general, and Hughes in particular, has given us no reason to believe this isn't what he actually thinks. The text gives us no reason to believe this isn't what he actually thinks. Good gracious.
  2. javy knows my name
    I just read the whole thing. Every other post had me laughing out loud.
  3. javy knows my name
    I'm out.
  4. javy knows my name
    The Hellicksons of the world are few and far between. He was a college junior on the mound when he was junior in HS as far as how he pitched. Yeah, SSR beat me. When the BPA is a high school kid with upper-level college polish and ridiculous upside, yeah, I'll be taking him with my pick. EDIT: And spending a lot to sign him away from his college commitment
  5. javy knows my name
    If you were a scouting director of a smaller market club, would you draft a HS pitcher in the 1st? With all things being equal, probably not. They are, on average, going to cost more to sign away from a college commitment and take more resources to develop. They are also more likely to bust than a polished college kid. It doesn't seem like a good gamble. On the flip side, as a small market team, it's almost easier to gamble on that end of spending than it is to gamble on free agency. Have to go for high reward projects internally if you're not going to be able to afford high reward FAs and you ever plan to compete. That's a good point. Pitchers are just so volatile that I would do my damndest to minimize the risk in making that pick. Picking a guy who already has some polish out of school AND presumably costs a little less to sign are two things you can kind of control when deciding on a pick.
  6. javy knows my name
    If you were a scouting director of a smaller market club, would you draft a HS pitcher in the 1st? With all things being equal, probably not. They are, on average, going to cost more to sign away from a college commitment and take more resources to develop. They are also more likely to bust than a polished college kid. It doesn't seem like a good gamble.
  7. javy knows my name
    Thanks, Gary. What was said: VOROS McCRACKEN: The lower-revenue teams are in a bit of a bind when it comes to high school prospects because they are more of an unknown. It becomes difficult for a team that's not bringing in that much in terms of revenue to take a big-money chance . . . GARY HUGHES: Why are they an unknown? I don't understand. Because of the data? What it meant: "I don't understand why you believe high school prospects that can be evaluated through scouting are an unknown. They're not unknown." What you heard: "I don't understand baseball." Gary Hughes doesn't see the difference between projecting a high school kid vs a college kid because he sees them with his EYES and feels their potential with his GUT. Not only does that fly in the face of any responsible use of statistics, it defies common sense. That's a problem. He didn't say that. That's your spin. I'm going to go ahead and continue to cling to the apparently bizarre notion that a lifelong professional scout grasps the difference between projecting HS prospects and college prospects. He doesn't agree that they're MORE of an unknown. Your context actually helps my argument. He doesn't think it is any harder to project (or any riskier to pay) high school players than college players. That is all there, and you are the only person who doesn't see it (Ping does not count).
  8. javy knows my name
    Thanks, Gary. What was said: VOROS McCRACKEN: The lower-revenue teams are in a bit of a bind when it comes to high school prospects because they are more of an unknown. It becomes difficult for a team that's not bringing in that much in terms of revenue to take a big-money chance . . . GARY HUGHES: Why are they an unknown? I don't understand. Because of the data? What it meant: "I don't understand why you believe high school prospects that can be evaluated through scouting are an unknown. They're not unknown." What you heard: "I don't understand baseball." Gary Hughes doesn't see the difference between projecting a high school kid vs a college kid because he sees them with his EYES and feels their potential with his GUT. Not only does that fly in the face of any responsible use of statistics, it defies common sense. That's a problem.
  9. javy knows my name
    This is just as laughable. They are loyal to their network, that's about it. If the Pac-12 had said OK to the LHN then there wouldn't be any more Big 12. Too rich. You screw over half the Southwest conference, and now leave the Big 12 to die, and have the gall to cast stones at Texas. Ooh, how did they screw over the SWC, I want to know. EDIT: Because I thought SMU screwed over the SWC by being SMU.
  10. javy knows my name
    Holy wow! Two other votes for Bojangles!
  11. javy knows my name
    Bojangles is sort of shitty, but I have good memories from there, so it makes me smile. It gets my vote because I am not from the south and thus don't know [expletive] about fried chicken.
  12. javy knows my name
    Are you sure he didn't understand or is it that his job is to try to beat the odds? I'm very sure he didn't understand. Are you sure you read the interview? You can't be serious. The guy may or may not suck at his job, but he surely understands the pros and cons of drafting HS players vs. college players. NOW this thread can realize its full potential.
  13. javy knows my name
    Come on now, let's not jump to conclusions
  14. javy knows my name
    1. No one is denying that he's extremely intelligent. 2. Doesn't Beane do the whole delegate and lead thing? Hell, we've seen Beane guys go on and become GMs for other teams. Isn't that one of the strongest attributes of leadership when everyone is looking to copy and imitate your success with your own underlings? 3. Everyone lets their scouts scout and players develop. I'm not sure what's so special about that. Beane laid a foundation too, and it's one that almost very literally everyone in baseball started copying. You're knocking Friedman for having Hunsicker as part of his staff as if, he wouldn't be as successful without him. Beane delegates, but he/Kuboda also uses stats too much over the scout's opinion in relation to draft picks. Their hands have been in that cookie jar too much. It's the primary flaw when using BPA (within budgetary constraints) and statistical analysis. It's great to look at hitter's stats on Friday nights, but there's a line it crosses as far as importance. Their farms have not been that good. Whether that is scouting or development, I'm not too familiar with but they haven't done as well building from within recently. It's a good thing a lot of us know your biases, but I still feel like some may take this somewhat seriously.
  15. javy knows my name
    They won't be better. Every theory is based on longshot hopes of unrealistic production from garbage internal candidates. It's a pointless exercise. It's impossible for the Cubs to better use Ramirez's money than on his salary? Don't be ridiculous. The Cubs were bad in several areas. If they use Ramirez's money towards a 4-5 win pitcher like Wilson, then you don't need any production out of 3B(which doesn't HAVE to be a platoon of current guys) to break even, and you've made yourself better for future years as well. The Cubs will need production from somewhere. Also, you do know that winshare numbers aren't real? They're like a Z score. The only way to be better without Ramirez will be to add enough offense to offset his production +. If they get Fielder and let him walk they will be a weaker offensive team by a larger margin. So, Wilson will need to be an elite pitcher to factor for the loss of Aramis. I guess the question is: Is Wilson + Fielder enough to make up for the loss in production of Aramis. I don't know, but I suspect the answer is no given the other problems the Cubs have. I'm kind of excited for TT's response to this.
  16. javy knows my name
    This is exactly what I'm hearing, as well. Pleeeeeease don't [expletive] up my conference.
  17. javy knows my name
    wrigley is an old ballpark with small seats, how do brewer fans fit in them? They're also rather expensive, so how to Brewer fans afford them? The only time I've ever been to a Cubs game in which the away teams fans took over Wrigley were the Twins in 2009. Those were some obnoxious bastards. Of course, I've never been to a game at Wrigley vs. the Yanks or Red Sox, and I'm assuming they'd be worse. The Mets pack Wrigley each time I've seen them here. They aren't as obnoxious as Brewers or Cards fans, but their presence somehow annoys me more.
  18. javy knows my name
    Thank you both for everything you do in these forums. Makes it easy to follow the Cubs without following the Cubs.
  19. javy knows my name
    But, he brings so much with the gl- ...no... Well, he's a real terror on the bas- ...nope STFU THERIOT
  20. javy knows my name
    God, he sucks so much. I don't think I ever want him to stop talking.
  21. javy knows my name
    You'll get your all-catholic basketball conference that will have an automatic bid, don't worry. H8 U
  22. javy knows my name
    I hate college football a little bit
  23. javy knows my name
    They aren't going to worry about finding a place for non-football programs to land. We need KU and Mizzou just to stay afloat.
  24. javy knows my name
    Sweet. I didn't know it was that easy. He's not the only Brewer fan I've talked to who believes Mat Gamel is going to replicate Prince's production in year one, either.
  25. javy knows my name
    No, they're drunk assholes with a huge inferiority complex who, by and large, don't know [expletive] about baseball. I prefer Cardinals fans.
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