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Transmogrified Tiger

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Everything posted by Transmogrified Tiger

  1. Transmogrified Tiger
    I was a little confused about the decent K rate and comments about missing bats, but his swinging strike rate is abysmal. He's literally not missing the bats. This is more hypothetical than anything else, but given the absurdly low swinging strike rate compared to the slightly above average K rate, it would seem to me he's getting a lot of takes on pitches in the zone? I wonder how that compares in terms of predictive value vs swinging strikes. Just eyeballing his Fangraphs graphs, there doesn't seem to be a consistent correlation between his contact rate and his ERA or FIP. He has run higher contact rates pre-surgery, so even if that part doesn't change it's not necessarily bad news. That would seem to indicate that his ability to be effective is more weighted on control and/or command though, which makes taking him on post-TJS all the more risky.
  2. Transmogrified Tiger
    If the velocity keeps coming back, then it's...fine.
  3. Transmogrified Tiger
    I will be in attendance so it would be nice if they would win
  4. Transmogrified Tiger
    I'm liking the young depth that's building up with the youth for Berhalter's center midfield pairing. Even setting aside if it's Pulisic's best position(I've seen good arguments both ways), McKennie, Pomykal, Reyna, and Ledezma have some serious upside, to say nothing of Holmes and Mendez(who is no upside slouch himself).
  5. Transmogrified Tiger
    Holland seems like a Montgomery that fits the roster better than the original. To get Maldonado for Montgomery and Holland for nothing seems like a fair amount of improvement where the only cost is losing Montgomery's 2020-21 team control(trivial at this point).
  6. Transmogrified Tiger
    Is there consensus on what Reyna's future position is? It looks like he's played as a 10 with the youth national team I think.
  7. Transmogrified Tiger
    Because they make the world a worse place and I am against the world being worse. I couldnt imagine going through life worrying about other people's political opinions. There has to be thousands of things I'd rather spend my time being mad about. We all contain multitudes. It's not terribly difficult to hear that information presented without having investigated to find it out, and then react that it's a bummer. Doesn't mean my day is ruined, or that I'm never gonna be happy that Cole Hamels does something good on the field. The inverse is the idea that we can only react to things that are within our control to change, which is even more absurd than the 'spending my time being mad about other people's politics' framing.
  8. Transmogrified Tiger
    [tweet] [/tweet]
  9. Transmogrified Tiger
    My instinct is that they'll have tighter leashes on HS draftees compared to college, and they've drafted mostly college pitchers. It's not a 1:1 comparison for a couple reasons, but Cease was in a similar situation in his time at Eugene.
  10. Transmogrified Tiger
    I can't seem to link to it but the highlight is here: https://www.mlb.com/gameday/cubs-vs-giants/2019/07/22/566521#game_state=final,lock_state=final,game_tab=videos,game=566521 There is no way in the world that's actually a 70% catch probability
  11. Transmogrified Tiger
    Yeah I like a Starlin/Lemahieu (taking out some of the Coors inflation) type with more walks as a comp and also at least a little more versatile defensively. What even happened to Castro? He kinda just began to suck and it kind of seemed like it came out of nowhere. Even at his peak, most of Starlin's value came from batting average and positional value. Moving to 2nd, the launch angle/juiced ball devaluing the hit tool more, and some decline as he maybe didn't have his 20 year old twitch reactions in his late 20s mostly did him in as a regular(or at least an above average one).
  12. Transmogrified Tiger
    Long time reader, first time watcher, do the games normally have stuff besides almora and russell taking turns choking on their tongues, or is that it
  13. Transmogrified Tiger
    You missed Fowler at .755, which helps a small bit.
  14. Transmogrified Tiger
    I will admit that I have no idea what Boone is talking about in the context of arguing with the umpire. Like I get the positive connotation of 'savages in the box', but how does that at all relate to them being angry with the strike zone? I thought it was a bad lip reading thing until I actually played it with audio.
  15. Transmogrified Tiger
    He had 1000 PA as roughly a league average hitter prior to this season. I know a lot of people are predisposed to dislike Almora because he swings too much and therefore doesn't walk or hit for a ton of power, but he was a perfectly fine role player for multiple years until his struggles this year. That could be a blip and it could be him finally getting figured out for good, but scoffing at the idea that he's ever been useful is silly.
  16. Transmogrified Tiger
    Basically the only difference between Bryant's MVP season and 2019 is that in 2016 UZR says he was an elite outfielder(in < 40 games) and this year UZR says he's a horrific outfielder (in <30 games). Which is the long way to say that he's been just as good as he was in 2016.
  17. Transmogrified Tiger
    Bryant taking 3rd, <3
  18. Transmogrified Tiger
    Montgomery's been saying 'I want to start' for 2 and a half years, the idea he forced a move in the midst of his worst season as a Cub seems really unlikely.
  19. Transmogrified Tiger
    Some Twitter searching isn't getting me much anywhere, how do I get a little more context without clicking a barstool link?
  20. Transmogrified Tiger
    As far as the trade itself goes, lots of folks have made these thoughts, but in no particular order: - Contreras might be out for an extended period, although early reports are this is unlikely - Caratini might be on his way out the door in another trade, which would be good business, IMO - Maldonado is a playoff-oriented addition, he's not going to be much of a pinch hitter but he's able to fill that Ross gap in a way that Caratini can't. Especially on a playoff roster, you can use a defensive catching replacement easier than you can use your 5th best pinch hitter - Montgomery has fallen out of favor with the team. He's having a bad year, he's not particularly young or far from FA any longer, even at his best he was never murder on LHP which means his primary value is as a swingman, which the team already has Chatwood and Alzolay to help with(plus more help in future seasons from the farm than in the past) I think it's probably a pretty proportional combination of those 4 factors.
  21. Transmogrified Tiger
    Team ERA- by year: 2017: 91 - T-4th in NL 2018: 91 - T-2nd in NL 2019: 93 - 4th in NL KBB (where framing really shows, IMO) 2016: 2.91 2017: 2.60 2018: 2.14 2019: 2.53 1) how is this showing a progressive degradation 2) focusing on raw K/BB as evidence of the progression/regression of a catcher's impact on a pitching staff is profoundly bad logic
  22. Transmogrified Tiger
    Team ERA- by year: 2017: 91 - T-4th in NL 2018: 91 - T-2nd in NL 2019: 93 - 4th in NL
  23. Transmogrified Tiger
    Tony Thomas! Younger, dumber me definitely thought he was gonna be a MLB 2B
  24. Transmogrified Tiger
    If they add the rule about pitchers needing to step off to pickoff runners, all those runners are gonna have an extra half-step on their leads to make up for geared up catchers. Net neutral on the running game, the strike zone is more accurate, and we give the LHP balk pickoff moves the fiery death they deserve. win-win-win
  25. Transmogrified Tiger
    How far does Lester’s home run go without the juiced ball, I say 200 feet
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