Fred Hornkohl

They said he's better, but not quite ready yet.

Walker grounded out to first, unassisted

Pierre groundd out to second, 4-3

TOP OF THE FIRST INNING Granderon tripled to the right field corner Polanco singled to center field, Granderson scored Rodriguez flied out to right center field Ordonez struck out swinging Guillen homered to right center field, Polanco scored Thames flied out to left field 3 runs, 3 hits, 0 errors, 0 men left on base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E Detroit 3 3 3 0 CUBS . 0 0 0 Home runs: Detroit: Guillen (8 ) pitcher IP H R ER BB K HR PIT Marmol 1.0 3 3 3 0 1 1 21

Guillen homered to right center field, Polanco scored

Ordonez struck out swinging

CUBS are 21-11 when they score first in the game.... 5-29 when they don't CUBS are 22-19 when they don't allow any runs is the first inning.... 4-21 when they do Go CUBS !!

Rodriguez flied out to right center field

Polanco singled to center field, Granderson scored

Granderon tripled to the right field corner

Lineups........ Granderson, cf Polanco, 2b Rodriguez, c Ordonez, rf Guillen, ss Thames, lf Shelton, 1b Inge, 3b Verlander, p Pierre, cf Walker, 2b Ramirez, 3b Nevin, 1b Jones, rf Mabry, lf Cedeno, ss Blanco, c Marmol, p

First off, thanx for your kind words. I really wasn't aware of the discrepency in the Cardinals production since Pujols went down, until you posted it here. Wow !! Talk about the team stepping it up !! It boggles the mind. I don't know what to attribute it to.... magic pixie dust ?? I don't know. With respect to the CUBS and Derrek Lee, what I found most interesting was that the team played really well for a week after Lee's injury, then went down the tubes. For a while, I was posting a daily recap of how bad they've been in with the "Worthless Stats of the Day" bit, but I got tired of that when they started to play better for a while. At any rate..... since the CUBS "died" on 26 April (a week after Lee went down), here's what the splits look like..... CUBS AB R H 2b 3b HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS 04/03 - 04/25 630 96 165 30 5 18 259 88 51 107 0.262 0.317 0.411 0.728 04/26 - 06/16 1612 165 411 66 13 35 608 156 108 232 0.255 0.305 0.377 0.683 CUBS IP H R ER BB K HR BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA 04/03 - 04/25 166.7 130 78 71 78 134 24 4.21 7.24 1.30 1.25 3.83 04/26 - 06/16 417.0 413 247 231 207 355 57 4.47 7.66 1.23 1.49 4.99 We went from...... 12-7 (.632) RBI% = 24.1% Runs per baserunner = .440 Runs per game = 5.05 Pitches per plate appearance = 3.73 Extra base hit % = 32.1% Walks drawn per game = 2.68 .... to these numbers..... 14-33 (.298) RBI% = 17.0% Runs per baserunner = .309 Runs per game = 3.51 Pitches per plate appearance = 3.58 Extra base hit % = 27.7% Walks drawn per game = 2.30 I don't know how to explain it all. There's certainly a whole lot more going on here besides the loss of Derrek Lee. My opinion is that the decline in pitching has hurt us a whole lot worse than missing Derrek, and the numbers our offense was putting up in April were just not sustainable, even with Derrek Lee. RBI% is an idea whose time has come. RBI as a counting stat doesn't really tell you how good a player is at driving in runs. The discussions we've had here about Derrek Lee and RBI totals from last year are ample evidence of that. I'm surprised Branch Rickey didn't come up with this idea 60 years ago. (Maybe he did, and nobody picked up on it... I really don't know for sure). Pinto, in Baseball Musings, is using actual runners on base data that he gets from an outside source. I've chosen to use the proxy variable RBI - HR + LOB for baserunners. My choice was more problematic that idealogical, in that I can get LOB from the daily boxscore, so I don't need to go to another source. It can be argued that using actual baserunners is more accurate, and certainly, that is so. There is, however, an inherent penalty with this method for the batter who gets a hit (or BB, IBB, or HBP) that does not drive in the runner. The runner(s) was on base, and you didn't drive him in, so it costs you in the rating. On the other hand, using the proxy variable with LOB totals, this penalty doesn't exist, since you are not charged with a LOB if you get on base yourself without scoring other baserunner(s). I think I like my method better for the very reasons you brought up, even though I chose it simply for my convenience. In any case, my percentages will be much higher than what Pinto comes up with, up and down the lineup, but the real difference will be with hitters like a Barry Bonds who gets walked a lot when there are runners on base. He will look far better when compared to other hitters with my calculation than with Pinto's. The downside to my method is that it only provides comparability for and with players on the CUBS roster..... since I'm not about to start compiling data for the whole league, and I am not aware of anyone that publishes ongoing LOB totals. Oh well.... in my own little world, it works pretty good. Thanx again for the kind words. !!

Walker's got great numbers for the season..... but what has he done for you lately ??? 06/09 - 06/16 AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Walker 22 2 4 1 0 0 5 1 2 2 0.182 0.250 0.227 0.477 06/09 - 06/16 BDI LOB RBI% Walker 1 11 0.083 I might almost be inclined to sit him for a game or two. Nah !! Better not.

Don't forget the guy right behind Barrett, eh?

Worthless stats of the day for Saturday....... CUBS are 3-7 on Saturdays CUBS are 0-1 vs. Detroit CUBS are 1-3 vs. the ALC Division CUBS are 1-2 when they've lost their last 4 game(s) in a row CUBS are 13-24 when they've lost their previous game CUBS are 16-10 when CSN broadcasts the game CUBS are 11-24 in day games CUBS are 12-18 at home CUBS are 7-19 when the temperature is 70 degrees or above CUBS are 23-8 when they score at least 4 runs.... 3-32 when they don't CUBS are 18-8 when they allow fewer than 4 runs.... 8-32 when they don't CUBS are 21-8 when they outhit the opponents.... 3-27 when they get outhit.... and 1-5 when the hits are even CUBS are 12-10 when their pitcher gets a hit.... 14-30 when he doesn't CUBS are 11-7 when Pierre steals a base.... 15-33 when he dosen't CUBS are 22-19 when they don't allow any runs is the first inning.... 4-21 when they do CUBS are 5-13 in one run games.... 2-4 in two run games CUBS are 25-23 when their pitchers average 18 pitches per inning or less..... 1-17 when they don't CUBS are 19-11 when the opponent's starter pitches 6-1/3 inning or less.... 7-29 when he doesn't CUBS are on a pace to win 64 games this year..... compared to 79 last year CUBS are on a pace to score 641 runs this year..... compared to 703 last year CUBS are on a pace to hit 130 home runs this year..... compared to 194 last year CUBS are on a pace to draw 390 walks this year..... compared to 419 last year CUBS are on a pace to ground into 164 double plays this year..... compared to 129 last year CUBS are scoring 3.95 runs per game compared to 4.34 last year CUBS are seeing 3.62 pitches per plate appearance compared to 3.61 last year CUBS are drving in 19.0% of their runners on base compared to 18.4% last year CUBS are scoring 0.347 runs per baserunner compared to 0.365 last year CUBS are extra base hit ratio is 29.0% compared to 35.8% last year CUBS have 3 errors in their last 11 games CUBS have 9 home runs in their last 10 games CUBS have drawn 6 BBs in their last 5 games..... 20 BBs in their last 11 games CUBS are 1-0 when Marmol starts Marmol is 1 of 1 in quality starts Marmol's ERA pitching to Barrett is 1.50 ... Marmol hasn't pitched to Blanco CUBS score 3.95 R/G overall.... 9.00 R/G when Marmol pitches CUBS hit 0.80 HR/G overall.... 3.00 HR/G when Marmol pitches CUBS' offensive support of Marmol..... 04/03 - 06/16 AB R H 2b 3b HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS CUBS w/Marmol 39 9 12 1 0 3 22 9 1 6 0.308 0.317 0.564 0.881 CUBS overall 2211 258 570 95 18 51 854 241 157 335 0.258 0.309 0.386 0.696 Marmol's previous starts (1-0)..... Marmol IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA 06/11 vs. Cincy 6.0 2 1 1 3 7 1 99 4.50 10.50 1.50 0.83 1.50 CUBS' bullpen usage for the last week...... Fri Thu Wed Tue Mon Sun Sat Totals 16 Jun 15 Jun 14 Jun 13 Jun 12 Jun 11 Jun 10 Jun vs Detr vs Houst vs Houst vs Houst no game at Cincy at Cincy pitcher IP Pit IP Pit IP Pit IP Pit IP Pit IP Pit IP Pit IP Pit Dempster 1.0 11 1.0 17 2.0 28 Eyre 0.7 21 1.0 25 1.7 46 Howry 1.0 29 1.0 15 0.3 11 2.3 55 Ohman 0.7 19 1.0 16 0.3 5 2.0 40 Novoa 0.3 2 0.3 1 1.0 15 1.0 12 2.7 30 Aardsma 1.0 18 1.0 15 0.7 26 2.7 59 Guzman 5.3 96 2.0 31 7.3 127 Rusch 1.7 54 1.7 54 Totals 9.0 189 2.0 51 2.0 26 5.0 77 3.0 68 1.3 28 22.3 439 CUBS' season series vs. Detroit (0-0)....... Gm# Date Opponent Score Starter 66 Fri 06/16 Detroit 3- 5 Rusch 67 Sat 06/17 Detroit - Marmol 68 Sun 06/18 Detroit - Marshall CUBS' hitters during the last 7 games...... 06/09 - 06/16 AB R H 2B 3B HR TB RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS Blanco 7 2 5 1 0 1 9 5 0 0 0.714 0.714 1.286 2.000 Nevin 21 3 8 2 0 2 16 4 2 4 0.381 0.435 0.762 1.197 Barrett 20 3 8 1 0 1 12 5 2 2 0.400 0.435 0.600 1.035 Ramirez 24 2 8 3 0 1 14 4 1 2 0.333 0.385 0.583 0.968 Bynum 9 0 3 0 1 0 5 0 1 2 0.333 0.400 0.556 0.956 Perez 15 3 5 1 0 1 9 3 0 2 0.333 0.313 0.600 0.913 Cedeno 22 4 6 0 1 1 11 3 1 3 0.273 0.304 0.500 0.804 Mabry 4 1 1 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 0.250 0.250 0.500 0.750 Pierre 30 3 9 1 0 0 10 2 1 2 0.300 0.344 0.333 0.677 Jones 28 4 5 1 0 1 9 2 0 11 0.179 0.172 0.321 0.494 Walker 22 2 4 1 0 0 5 1 2 2 0.182 0.250 0.227 0.477 Murton 22 2 4 0 0 0 4 0 2 2 0.182 0.250 0.182 0.432 Womack 8 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 0.125 0.222 0.125 0.347 7 game totals 245 30 69 12 2 8 109 30 14 40 0.282 0.322 0.445 0.767 season totals 2242 261 576 92 18 53 863 243 159 337 0.257 0.309 0.385 0.694 CUBS' pitchers during the last 7 games...... 06/09 - 06/16 IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA Novoa 2.7 1 0 0 0 1 0 30 0.00 3.38 0.00 0.38 0.00 Zambrano 14.7 9 2 2 8 9 1 233 4.91 5.52 0.61 1.16 1.23 Marmol 6.0 2 1 1 3 7 1 99 4.50 10.50 1.50 0.83 1.50 Howry 4.0 4 2 1 1 6 0 78 2.25 13.50 0.00 1.25 2.25 Guzman 7.3 4 2 2 4 9 0 127 4.91 11.05 0.00 1.09 2.45 Aardsma 2.7 1 1 1 1 2 1 59 3.38 6.75 3.38 0.75 3.38 Maddux 12.3 15 7 7 0 3 2 156 0.00 2.19 1.46 1.22 5.11 Dempster 3.0 3 2 2 3 2 0 63 9.00 6.00 0.00 2.00 6.00 Eyre 2.7 5 3 3 3 1 1 72 10.13 3.38 3.38 3.00 10.13 Marshall 4.0 7 5 5 4 1 1 88 9.00 2.25 2.25 2.75 11.25 Ohman 2.0 4 3 3 1 0 0 40 4.50 0.00 0.00 2.50 13.50 Rusch 1.7 6 4 4 0 2 1 54 0.00 10.80 5.40 3.60 21.60 7 game totals 63.0 61 32 31 28 43 8 1099 4.00 6.14 1.14 1.41 4.43 season totals 583.7 543 325 302 284 490 81 9938 4.38 7.56 1.25 1.42 4.66 Percentage of baserunners driven in 04/03 - 06/16 BDI LOB RBI% Restovich 1 2 0.333 Lee 7 17 0.292 Walker 26 67 0.280 Blanco 7 21 0.250 Barrett 22 70 0.239 Perez 13 43 0.232 Jones 22 83 0.210 Ramirez 25 96 0.207 Nevin 3 12 0.200 Cedeno 17 83 0.170 Murton 16 86 0.157 Bynum 4 25 0.138 Hairston 4 27 0.129 Pagan 1 8 0.111 Pierre 7 69 0.092 Mabry 3 30 0.091 Womack 1 13 0.071 Theriot 0 2 0.000 CUBS 190 811 0.190 Go CUBS !!

Unless they've moved it recently, WLS can be found at 890 AM, no?

The Cubs are going to set an attendence record this year, aren't they? Probably will set a team record for attendance...... but with the new capacity of 41,118.... we still haven't seen a sellout this year !! edit..... I spoke too soon. The 2 weekend games vs. Atlanta at the end of May were sellouts. :oops:

Thanx. I have a lot of fun with it. Glad you enjoy it !!

That, plus $1.39, will buy coffee down at the truckstop, no? :wink:

BOTTOM OF THE NINTH INNING T Jones in to pitch for Detroit J Jones struck out swinging Cedeno grounded out to short, 6-3 Blanco grounded out to short, 6-3 0 runs, 0 hits, 0 errors, 0 men left on base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E Detroit 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 10 1 CUBS 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 6 0 W: Robertson (7-3) S: Jones (18 ) L: Rusch (2-7) T: 3:02 A: 40,683 Home runs: Detroit: Thames (13) - CUBS: Blanco (1), Ramirez (11) pitcher IP H R ER BB K HR PIT Rusch 1.7 6 4 4 0 2 1 54 Guzman 5.3 3 1 1 3 8 0 96 Aardsma 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 15 Ohman 0.7 1 0 0 1 0 0 19 Novoa 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 02

Cedeno grounded out to short, 6-3

J Jones struck out swinging

T Jones in to pitch for Detroit

TOP OF THE NINTH INNING Ohman in to pitch for the CUBS Gomez grounded out to short, 6-3 Granderson lined out to right field Polanco walked Wilson, pinch hitting for Rodriguez, blooped a single down the right field line,Polanco to third Novoa in (5th) to pitch, Mabry in at lf (9th) for the CUBS Ordonez grounded into a FC, 6-4, Wilson out at second 0 runs, 1 hits, 0 errors, 2 men left on base 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E Detroit 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 5 10 1 CUBS 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 3 6 0 Home runs: Detroit: Thames (13) - CUBS: Blanco (1), Ramirez (11) pitcher IP H R ER BB K HR PIT Rusch 1.7 6 4 4 0 1 1 54 Guzman 5.3 3 1 1 3 8 0 96 Aardsma 1.0 0 0 0 0 1 0 15 Ohman 0.7 1 0 0 1 0 0 19 Novoa 0.3 0 0 0 0 0 0 02

Novoa in to pitch for the CUBS 04/03 - 06/15 IP H R ER BB K HR PC BB/9 K/9 HR/9 WHIP ERA Novoa 30.0 26 18 15 19 22 4 559 5.70 6.60 1.20 1.50 4.50