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Fred Hornkohl

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Everything posted by Fred Hornkohl

  1. Fred Hornkohl
    um...really? So the day he steals the base that puts him over the break even point, there's no longer any risk associated with future SB attempts and he should run at every opportunity? Is that really what you're saying or am I misunderstanding? Um... yes. really. If the runner has amassed a SB% that exceeds the breakeven point by running at every single opportunity, then you continue to run him at every single opportunity. Or, if you prefer real life situations instead of impossible hypotheticals.... then if the runner has amassed a SB% that exceeds the breakeven point by running only in certain situations, then you continue to run him in those same certain situations. This goes to the definition of what a "breakeven point" is. There will be times when the runner is thrown out, and runs are not scored that might have otherwise. They will be outweighed by the times that the runner is successful and runs will be scored that otherwise would not be realized. If the percentage exceeds the breakeven point, then there is no risk. Math isn't that hard. Don't try to make so.
  2. Fred Hornkohl
    no and his stolen base percentage in the bigs is 76.8%, there's nothing wrong with that. There's a lot wrong with that. Isn't 75% the break-even point? yeah that's why his comment makes no sense. Assuming 75% is break even, Theriot, overall, is basically not costing the Cubs any runs when he attempts a steal. But he's not gaining anything either. If the best you can hope for is to break even, maybe it's not a risk worth taking. If the percentage exceeds the breakeven point, then there is no risk.
  3. Fred Hornkohl
    How can a fake rally fall short? If it didn't fall short, it wouldn't be fake. ;) point taken.
  4. Fred Hornkohl
    Another fake rally falls short, and the CUBS lose, 3-2.
  5. Fred Hornkohl
    Great, now they bring in a pitcher named Komatsu. I used to work for a company named Komatsu.
  6. Fred Hornkohl
    So... where are we getting this information from ?
  7. Fred Hornkohl
    Says more about the Cubs bench than anything else, IMO. ;) No.... it says more about Carlos. 03/31 - 10/04 AB R H 2b 3b HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS BABIP P/PA IsoD RBI% Zambrano 84 9 28 4 1 4 14 1 24 0.333 0.341 0.548 0.889 0.429 3.30 0.008 0.256
  8. Fred Hornkohl
    CUBS are 2-2 when Zambrano pitches on opening day. Go CUBS !!
  9. Fred Hornkohl
    Well that wouldn't help the city's crime rates. Which city ??? [/rimshot]
  10. Fred Hornkohl
    :-k =D> Well.... it made perfect sense to me ! :wink:
  11. Fred Hornkohl
    Why not keep the A's in Oakland, and move the white sox to San Jose ????
  12. Fred Hornkohl
    In principle, I agree, but then again, I'm pretty sure we absolutely crushed lefties last year. It could've just been skewed by Pittsburgh, though. CUBS AB R H 2b 3b HR RBI BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS BABIP P/PA IsoD RBI% vs Left 1465 232 424 99 4 39 220 183 304 0.289 0.368 0.442 0.811 0.343 3.89 0.079 0.200 vs Right 4225 629 1153 237 17 146 595 459 906 0.273 0.348 0.441 0.788 0.317 3.88 0.075 0.194 All pitchers 5690 861 1577 336 21 185 815 642 1210 0.277 0.353 0.441 0.794 0.324 3.88 0.076 0.195
  13. Fred Hornkohl
    Didn't Lou coin the moniker "Little Babe Ruth" last year, too ?? I like that one better.
  14. Fred Hornkohl
    Kudos, Tim !! That's beautiful !!
  15. Fred Hornkohl
    Wow !! CUBS actually won a game. Now I don't even know how to behave !! :wink:
  16. Fred Hornkohl
    The Rangers broadcast is on MLB.com. Kewl. Thanx
  17. Fred Hornkohl
    Is this game on the radio ?
  18. Fred Hornkohl
    CUBS never got a man to second base. Sounded pretty fugly on the radio.
  19. Fred Hornkohl
    That was just fugly.
  20. Fred Hornkohl
    Amen
  21. Fred Hornkohl
    D-U-I No, no, no.... that's not it !!
  22. Fred Hornkohl
    I-L-L
  23. Fred Hornkohl
    Sulley.... come back in off the ledge, man !
  24. Fred Hornkohl
    Man, that Pringle guy is amazing tonight !!!
  25. Fred Hornkohl
    Meacham has been a real disappointment.
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