Burt Macklin, FBI
-
Posts
193 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Burt Macklin, FBI
-
http://media.giphy.com/media/eKv7g4mWJLYXK/giphy.gif -
wtf ump
-
wtf ross
-
do a good job
-
Hahahaha just turned the game on. Amazing!
-
do a good job
-
I think it's important to note that this data doesn't say "hard hit balls are not more likely to be base hits". The hardest hit balls are usually line drives, which have a much higher BABIP (~.730 depending on which article you read) than ground balls (~.240) and fly balls (~.150). This data says "Fangraphs hard hit% doesn't influence how likely base hits are". That arises because they normalize it to the batted ball type. In other words, they decide whether it's a fly ball, line drive, or ground ball, and then assign a soft, medium, or hard rating, such that you've normalized out the enhanced BABIP from line drives. Once you get past that, I think all the factors that Jersey mentioned come into play.
-
I'm not sure what Kyle was going to say (probably something about sustainability of Hard%/BABIP?) but this seems like a good place to bring up one of my favorite idiosyncrasies of the hard hit%: You can't use it to predict BABIP. At all. http://i.imgur.com/AbSptmq.png Perhaps it's best summed up in this graph: you can use it to great effect to predict power (slugging), but not at all to predict average: http://i.imgur.com/D0Re1NT.png *Fangraphs 2012-2014 seasons, all qualified hitters
-
Why I don't talk baseball with people I know
Burt Macklin, FBI replied to Sammys Boombox's topic in General Baseball Talk
I once made the mistake of trying to explain WAR to my uncle. He was super excited about the concept of figuring out wins for hitters, until I explained there wasn't a one to one correlation between pitcher wins and WAR. Then his eyes glazed over and he repeatedly muttered something about grit until I gave up. -
lolololol
-
do a good job
-
yesssssssssssss
-
do a good job
-
http://media.giphy.com/media/JrlfQk5rQm9Xy/giphy.gif
-
If Coghlan is worried about Lester paying attention to him, he should just lead off first base.
-
do a good job
-
What do you do with Montero now?
Burt Macklin, FBI replied to sontensei's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
http://media3.giphy.com/media/12m9NVAqhM7b6U/giphy.gif -
Christ he hit that from the dirt to the warning track
-
Pence is such a goon
-
Sad AB for the situation, but a good at bat for soler
-
Cmon Jorge get one
-
Dammit dammit dammit
-
I feel pretty good about most of the pitching matchups. 3/4 would go a long ways considering the insane SoS the giants have the rest of the way...
