NewCubsDynasty
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I can do ya one better. There was an article on fangraphs a month or so back that had a nice little graph. I'll just copy and paste the relevant stuff. The rest of the article actually talks about Prince specifically and how much value the author expects him to have over his upcoming contract. It's definitely worth a read. At any rate... the premise that bad-bodied, one-dimensional sluggers age poorly has long been a sabermetric tenet and it would seem that premise still holds up. Is it a certainty? No. Nothing is. But if we're gonna bet against the odds, I'd much rather do it for 5 years than 7. Perhaps I'm missing something in the writer's argument. Wouldn't you expect that a correlation to a "normal player" would support the commonly accepted age range for a player's peak years of 27-32? This chart suggests that a player's peak years are 23-28. Just curious.
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It wouldn't surprise me either way, to be honest. They have a need for him, but 4 players locked up to huge deals through 2016-2017 is a lot, even for the Yankees. Their major future commitments: ARod: through 2017, age 37 in 2012 - 29/28/25/21/20/20 CC: through 2016 w/2017 vesting option, age 32 in 2012 - 23/23/23/23/25/25 Teix: through 2016, age 32 in 2012 - 22.5/22.5/22.5/22.5/22.5 Wilson (hypothetical, just for the sake of it, assume 5/85 deal): through 2016, age 32 in 2012 - 12/13/15/20/25 That would be $90.5 million committed in 2016 to 4 players - one age 41 and three age 36. I know it's the Yankees, but that's a lot of cash invested in old players. It's the Yankees, they would still have $112 million (more assuming inflation) to spend on the rest of the team. Six of the playoff teams from this year were constructed for less money.