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Grit amp Heart

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  1. And your wrong. If Arkansas and Iowa met in the Capital One bowl, or Sugar Bowl or any bowl down there Iowa would be favored by 1.5. Give or take a couple. Thats based on what the teams have done up to right now. Teams favored by a field goal or less generally win 55% of the time. Who said I was flipping a fair coin? but point spreads are not based on who is the better team. They are based on trying to get an equal amount of action going both ways. The SEC is as good as the NFL perception will sway the spread. It has been that way for years. Yet like I pointed out the Big Ten seems to be holding its own in ACTUAL games. iowa isn't even favored against michigan state. if there was a large discrepancy between the real point spread and actual difference between the teams, smart people would bet on the easy win and force the point spread down to where it should go. it's not different than stocks and the betting market for highly computerized. inefficiencies don't last long. and I did NOT use any vegas futures lines or anything that for the Arkansas and Iowa matchup. I used actual difference between the teams, not the real point spread.
  2. And your wrong. If Arkansas and Iowa met in the Capital One bowl, or Sugar Bowl or any bowl down there Iowa would be favored by 1.5. Give or take a couple. Thats based on what the teams have done up to right now. Teams favored by a field goal or less generally win 55% of the time. Who said I was flipping a fair coin?
  3. I never said the fifth best team was better than Iowa. I merely said it'd be close to a coin flip.
  4. 2 games a year hardly mean a thing, especially when the two are split. The other thousand games played a season mean a lot more.
  5. True, but this year the Big 10 is just about as bad top to bottom as it has been in my lifetime, IMO. Maybe that's overstating things, but I don't think so. IDK, seems like every year I hear how great the SEC is and how bad the Big Ten is. The SEC has just about all the advantages in bowl games against Big Ten teams but the record is still pretty even over the long haul. well the SEC was better the last five years, the big ten was better the five years before that, and iirc each conference had one or two national titles the five years before that. so over that stretch they should be close.
  6. That's not why they have "inflated" scores. If they beat those teams as expected their sagarins scores will pretty much be unchanged. now if they beat northern iowa 17-16. they will change. How well Florida, Georgia, South Carolina and to a certain extent Vanderbilt do in their ACC matchups in November will mean a lot more than those games.
  7. And Mississippi State. And Kentucky. Except for the part where Miss State is on par with Minnesota and closer to Missouri than it is Iowa State or Baylor, for example. Oh Kentucky's ahead of the likes of Michigan, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and is on par with Wisconsin. i'd [expletive] a brick of kentucky beat oklahoma. who said anything about kentucky beating oklahoma?
  8. They've faced like one top third passing team this year. I'm not going to say they have a bad pass defense because they do not. I'm going to say that part of their numbers of a great passing defense is due to not facing quality passing teams.
  9. And Mississippi State. And Kentucky. Except for the part where Miss State is on par with Minnesota and closer to Missouri than it is Iowa State or Baylor, for example. Oh Kentucky's ahead of the likes of Michigan, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and is on par with Wisconsin.
  10. if 70 is too low a cutoff, use 75 6 ACC (50%) 4 Big East (50%) 5 Big Ten (45%) 6 Big XII (50%) 1 Pac 10 (10%) 2 SEC (17%)
  11. What's the compelling evidence that the middle of the SEC is head and shoulders above that of other conferences? Beating up on FCS and C-USA teams? See Above.
  12. I am not even saying that the middle of the pack sec teams are better than kansas or whoever, im saying that the middle of the pack is bigger. it is. the big xii has its baylor, iowa state, colorado, texas a&ms and kansas states. the big ten has its indiana, northwestern, purdue and illinois'. The SEC has its Vanderbilt. Let's count the number of teams in each conference below 70 on the Sagarin 1 SEC (Vanderbilt) 1 Pac 10 (Wazzu) 4 ACC (Wake, Duke, NC State, Maryland) 3 Big East (Rutgers, Louisville, Syracuse) 4 Big Ten (Purdue, Indiana, Northwestern, Illinois) 4 Big XII (Iowa State, Colorado, Baylor, Texas A&M)
  13. You know better than to look at one or two games.
  14. The problem is that the SEC has about seven Wisconsin/Oklahoma States, not two or three.
  15. Well three straight national titles, and four titles this decade does kind of put the SEC in the "best conference" award, don't it? The SEC isn't, hasn't and won't always be the top conference. It's the best conference the last three or four years. In the first half of the decade it was only beat by the Big East in consistent BCS futility while the ACC, Pac 10 and Big Ten were King of the Hill. It's cyclical every five or so years between the non-Big East BCS conferences. You'll see the ACC and Big Ten rise to the top shortly.
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