Aaron_Kennelly
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Everything posted by Aaron_Kennelly
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 5-19-16
Aaron_Kennelly replied to CaliforniaRaisin's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Very nice. -
And for your next installment of "What's on Duke's Mind?": Generally, the best course of action with BABIP is to assume everyone will regress back to the mean. It's usually right, because nearly everyone will. There will be guys on the fringes, your Darwin Barneys and Paul Goldschmidts, that won't. But, over enough of a sample, most guys will. It's just that it takes so long for this to stabilize that we won't really know that Paul Goldschmidt is Paul Goldschmidt for awhile. And by that time, he might have changed. What if he starts hitting more fly balls, or pulling the ball more, or loses some speed? Then the BABIP god we knew might not be a BABIP god anymore. But, how do we know for sure? I don't think this version of xBABIP alone will be able to tell us. But maybe it stabilizes faster. And maybe we could combine regular BABIP and xBABIP and something like raw exit velocity and create some sort of panacea to help us understand BABIP freaks in a more timely manner. We can also throw in speed, pull data, shifting data, etc. We can at least get a better understanding.
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Yeah, I kinda came unhinged. I've been anxiously waiting for Statcast-based xBABIP for awhile now. So I got all hot and bothered.
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We went 0-13 in RISP and still got the W. We are owed some delinquent runs, though. Let's get 20 tomorrow.
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I'm surprised the bases loaded inning didn't cause Ski to have a stroke. I'm sure that will be interesting to peruse when I catch up on this thread.
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Every time we've said that the starter has gone like 5 innings. Can you just not be you for like five minutes?
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Cubs win! I'll take it. Back to donging and we will just forget that last week ever happened.
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Addi!
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Ski, we get it: Bad luck happens in baseball. There is variance. And sequencing luck. And weird baseball. You don't need to constantly remind us. Maybe just jot it down mentally.
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horsefeathers yes, Pedro!
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Be the hero again, Javy!
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Finish them!
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And now Rizzo is out. And you wasted Montero's AB. horsefeathers this three catcher nonsense. Get Szczur back and cut this bum, Federowicz, so we can do actual bench things with our bench players.
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I hate you, Federowicz. So, so much.
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Not sure I like the way we handled the bench this inning.
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Eh... OK.
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Don't swing 3-0!
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That's a start.
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Let's see a Rizzo dong here. I don't want to wait until two outs or any stuff like that to get a run.
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David Ross for MVP.
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5-tool player.
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Jorge!
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lol... what a stupid sport
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David horsefeathering Ross.