Hit probability kinda sucks, and it's going to really suck on a ball hit like that. With a 42 degree launch angle, if it's hit out to center, it's never getting out. And hit probability doesn't factor in spin, either -- which is going to matter a lot for a ball that is up in the air that long. If the spin's right and it's hit out to left, there's probably a decent chance that's getting out even without the wind.