-
Posts
3,563 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by fromthestretch
-
=D> That's fantastic. I can't believe I missed that.
-
Who was it that led the league in mental RBIs last year? In my mind, I drove in 192. Take that, Hack Wilson. Since RBIs have been pretty much refuted as the measure of a good hitter, I suppose your mark was achieved largely due to the mental capacity of those around you. All my friends have high mental OBPs. Seriously though, I do agree that RBI and runs are poor measures of how good a hitter is.
-
Who was it that led the league in mental RBIs last year? In my mind, I drove in 192. Take that, Hack Wilson.
-
In my years of pitching, I realized that the hitter can do a lot more damage than the runner, so it's a no-brainer to focus on the hitter. If a guy steals second, he still hasn't scored, whereas if I groove one to the hitter, it could instantly lead to a couple runs. It is possible to throw over to keep the runner honest, yet still maintain focus on the hitter when delivering the ball to the plate.
-
Greg Maddux seems to have made a nice career for himself by largely ignoring baserunners (both fast and slow) over the past couple decades. The effect that a fast runner can have on a pitcher's performance most likely decreases significantly as you climb the baseball ladder. A major league pitcher is not going to be distracted by a fast runner nearly as much as some high school pitcher would be.
-
Greene would definitely be a major upgrade to Theriot. I'm not sure why you refuse to acknowledge that Greene's home field has a negative effect on his numbers. Outside of San Diego, he would probably put up an OPS over .800. That's a huge upgrade over Theriot. Regardless of where he plays, he will continue to strikeout. However, what happens when he makes contact is what makes him much more valuable than Theriot. If you look at the big picture, Greene with his strikeouts would be a major improvement over Theriot and his low strikeout rate. -
Neyer's top 10 MLB seasons of all time
fromthestretch replied to OleMissCub's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
He's the career leader in Adjusted ERA+...by a decent margin. Pedro's at 161. Lefty Grove is second at 148. That's for pitchers with a minimum of 1000 IP. Mariano Rivera is 47 innings away from topping that list (he currently has an Adjusted ERA+ of 194 :shock: ). -
Neyer's top 10 MLB seasons of all time
fromthestretch replied to OleMissCub's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Lou Gehrig in 1927: .373/.474/.765, 221 OPS+, 47 HR, 175 RBI, 52 doubles, 18 triples, 149 runs THOSE GUYS BATTED BACK TO BACK!!! How in the lord did Gehrig get any RBI's with Ruth batting in front of him? A lot of those RBI were probably the result of driving in Ruth. If you take away the at-bats where Ruth homered, his OBP was still nearly .450. Considering the amount of times Ruth was walked (probably often with guys on base), Gehrig had plenty of opportunities. -
To say he was never expected to hit for power is false. He showed good power as a 22-year old in 1987 at both the AAA and major league levels. He may not have been expected to be a 40-homer guy, but hitting 25-35 shouldn't have been a big surprise.
-
How About These Moves???
fromthestretch replied to tspain's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
Zambrano's first-half ERA was 4.03 in 2007. It wasn't close to 7.00. -
I think some people are operating under the assumption that Lou has already seen the light on Dempster in the rotation and therefore, don't believe he will be starting. I'm not sure Marquis is a safer bet than Dempster though. I don't think Marquis is a good starter, but I'd bet quite a bit on him to outperform Dempster over the course of a full season.
-
I'm confused why people are worried about Marquis while Dempster is currently considered to be a part of the rotation. I'm no fan of Marquis, but at least he's been league-average three of the past four seasons. If we're going to get another starter, let it be part of an effort to replace Dempster. If the Cubs can replace both with better pitchers, I'm all for it. If not, they can probably get away with Marquis at the back of the rotation. But Dempster should not be starting.
-
Just curious...what criteria is used for these rankings? Out of all full-time players that played at least 70 games at 2B in 2007, DeRosa ranked 16th in OPS+. I'd say that's not only near the top 20 but well inside of it. I do agree that Roberts would be an upgrade, but that's certainly not due to DeRosa being bad. Guess I set my hopes too high when expecting an answer to an honest question. Did you actually expect that there was any criteria other than the poster's opinion? Yeah...my bad. I need to lower my expectations.
-
Just curious...what criteria is used for these rankings? Out of all full-time players that played at least 70 games at 2B in 2007, DeRosa ranked 16th in OPS+. I'd say that's not only near the top 20 but well inside of it. I do agree that Roberts would be an upgrade, but that's certainly not due to DeRosa being bad. Guess I set my hopes too high when expecting an answer to an honest question.
-
Cameron to the Brewers
fromthestretch replied to andrew9991's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
There's talk of moving Hall to 3B and Braun to LF. -
Just curious...what criteria is used for these rankings? Out of all full-time players that played at least 70 games at 2B in 2007, DeRosa ranked 16th in OPS+. I'd say that's not only near the top 20 but well inside of it. I do agree that Roberts would be an upgrade, but that's certainly not due to DeRosa being bad.
-
That is horribly, horribly inaccurate.
-
Asdrubal Cabrera could move to SS for the Tribe.
-
OK then. I'll take his numbers from 1999-2002. He made 11 starts in 1998 with a 7.08 ERA. I excluded that since it was his first season in the majors. I also stopped at 2002, since that was the last year he made at least 25 starts. These are his numbers in 125 starts from 1999-2002: 793.2 IP 802 H 395 BB 659 K 4.65 ERA 1.51 WHIP Still awful. He's really only had one season as a starter that you could classify as decent.
-
I'm not saying ERA is the best way to evaluate a starter, but since you used it, I'm a little unclear as to how you can support the idea of Dempster as a starter when he has a career ERA of 4.99 as a starter, yet at the same time, you don't want Lieber because he "has a near 5.00 ERA the last two years" (it's actually 4.80 as a starter). When he doesn't have to pitch in Philadelphia, which really favors hitters, he has a 4.36 ERA in 18 starts the past two seasons. On top of that, it appears you favor him over Marquis, who was at least league-average last year. Dempster is no longer a reasonable option as a starter.
-
According to baseball reference, it was 287 plate appearances leading off an inning. You are right though that 139 were leading off the first inning. He started 162 games for them. 287/162 = 1.77. Again, tough to break out how many of the other 148 times he led off an inning were in games he batted somewhere other than first in the lineup. ETA: In my post earlier in the thread, I only calculated it to 153 games instead of 162 for Rollins. While he played in 162, there were only 153 games in which he led off an inning. I have 276. And he didn't start 162 games leading off so you can't use that. 276 PA leading off an inning in 139 games when he was the leadoff hitter = 1.99. As for Soriano, he was 232 PA (125 in 1st, 107 later); or 1.86. I was using his splits page on B-R. I just saw that PI was free on there for now, so I just used that. I see where you're getting your numbers from now. That is more accurate. If you run it for Roberts, who didn't have pitchers constantly making outs ahead of him, he had 275 plate appearances in 151 games, for an average of 1.82.
-
According to baseball reference, it was 287 plate appearances leading off an inning. You are right though that 139 were leading off the first inning. He started 162 games for them. 287/162 = 1.77. Again, tough to break out how many of the other 148 times he led off an inning were in games he batted somewhere other than first in the lineup. ETA: In my post earlier in the thread, I only calculated it to 153 games instead of 162 for Rollins. While he played in 162, there were only 153 games in which he led off an inning.
-
By the way, using Baseball Musing's lineup analysis tool, I tried the following two lineups to see which one was expected to score more runs. (There are several different combinations, but I chose these two). Lineup #1 Soriano Roberts Lee Ramirez Fukudome Soto Pie Theriot Pitcher Lineup #2 Roberts Fukudome Lee Ramirez Soriano Soto Pie Theriot Pitcher For Roberts, Lee, Ramirez, Soriano, and Theriot, I used their 2007 stats. For the others, I used their 2008 ZiPS projections, because they were easy to find (thanks, meph) and we don't have a full MLB season of stats for them. Lineup #1 averaged 5.079 runs/game, while lineup #2 was 5.139 runs/game. It's a difference of .06 runs/game. While I'm all for putting the high OBP guys in front of the high SLG guys to maximize scoring opportunities, it's just not that much of a difference.
-
And you guessed wrong. Let's take Jimmy Rollins as an example, since he was in the NL and served as the Phillies lead-off hitter most of the season. Rollins had 778 plate appearances last season, which not only led the majors in 2007 but also established a single-season major league record. He had 675 of them batting in the first spot in the order. In 153 games played, he led off an inning a total of 287 times, which comes out to 1.88 times per game. What if you take out the 100 PAs he didn't hit 1st? I'd imagine that would put that number closer to 2, which would make his statement on base. I'd probably have to go game-by-game to do that, and well, I'm lazy. But we could look at Soriano's numbers. He had a larger percentage of his at-bats as the first hitter in the lineup. He had 617 plate appearances, with 577 coming in the first spot in the order. He led off an inning 233 times in 135 games, which is 1.73 times per game.
-
And you guessed wrong. Let's take Jimmy Rollins as an example, since he was in the NL and served as the Phillies lead-off hitter most of the season. Rollins had 778 plate appearances last season, which not only led the majors in 2007 but also established a single-season major league record. He had 675 of them batting in the first spot in the order. In 153 games played, he led off an inning a total of 287 times, which comes out to 1.88 times per game.
