Elrhino
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Everything posted by Elrhino
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If Schwarber is just destroying baseballs in the minors, are the Cubs going to re-evaluate their commitment to projecting him as a longterm developmental catching prospect or just call him up and let him mash in leftfield?
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javi baez deep concern and probably giving hope up thread
Elrhino replied to treebird's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I guess I should have clarified that Castro isn't likely to help team OBP because he hates walks. Hopefully he keeps his LD% and HR/FB up at 2014 levels and he's taken a next step, and they don't regress back towards previous career averages. -
javi baez deep concern and probably giving hope up thread
Elrhino replied to treebird's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
I'm worried about the collective of high k% batters on team OBP, even if Baez gets his k rates turned around from catastrophic to merely bad. It's going to be hard to have a high team OBP when you have Arismendy, Bryant, Baez and Castro striking out at a really high clip in a regular lineup, especially in the NL without a DH. I'm okay with this offense being built around the 3 run homer, but that requires two guys to get on base before the homer. I'm not sure the current collection of Cubs will be able to absorb Javy's flaws well. -
I'm not worried about Fowler being a butcher in CF, just worried that his limitations will be highlighted playing next to Coughlan. Thankfully, Baez, Soler and Bryant are going to be offensive monsters, and we'll be able to defensively substitute Denorfia in for Coughlan sitting on a huge lead by the 7th inning most games
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I'm all for giving Arismendy every opportunity to demonstrate he can play any position you ask of him competently. It not only helps his value as a supersub, but also gives the front office in house contingency plans if they want to string together a package of assets for a trade .
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Pretty happy about this trade because I have had some irrational man-love for Dexter Fowler, and we're going to see Bryant up very, very soon into the season. Maybe Maddon's positioning can help mask some of Fowler's defense.
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We really need to make more trades with the Diamondbacks while those two are still employed there.
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You and Dusty can commiserate about all these stat geeks making stuff up and ruining the game you grew up with. Called strikes just clog up the strike count.
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Despite the lip service, it's apparent that Theo really, really didn't want Welly anywhere near his pitchers any longer. Adding Blanco to the coaching staff + trading for Montero and the entirety his contract + signing Ross to two years .... changing the position from top to bottom in the organization was obviously a huge priority for Theo this offseason. People can scoff at framing if they want, but Theo and his analytics department obviously value it heavily.
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Apparently Brazis has nice stuff, but fell in the draft to the 28th round because he's a reliever and missed most of his junior year with injury.
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I think it has to do more with the end of the winter meetings, and the gossiping sources and agents have dispersed.
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Myers has turned into a butcher in the field and was completely outplayed by Kevin Kiermaier in every way, but he still projects well because he just turned 24 years old. Which shows why we shouldn't be in any hurry to get rid of just turned 22 year old Javy.
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I would definitely take Myers over a 1 year rental of Upton.
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Looks like the Cubs are only interested in 1 year deals at this point. Seems they don't want to commit longterm until they get a better grasp of the attrition rate of the kids and what positions they eventually end up at.
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Looking at the established market so far... Zach Duke 3/15 Pat Neshek 2/12.5 Luke Gregerson 3/18.5 Luke Hochevar 2/10 Cubs might have been able to get a decent set up guy for 4.5, but they would have made a longer commitment than 1 year. This might be a one year placeholder for CJ Edwards or Pierce Johnson in 2016.
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He used to throw a nasty cutter. Gotta hope he regains some of his velocity from TJS over time.
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I thought he would get 10-12. Big market franchises should have available cash on hand to take a 1 year flier on a legit TOR talent en lieu of handing out $150-180 million to Lester or Scherzer.
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Rasmus is basically all over the map. But his downside is what we can expect from Chris Coghlan. His upshot is a hell of a lot better than that. He shouldn't cost too much in years or dollars, so the risk is minimal. Yeah, bring him in. Let Maddon see if he can figure out how to squeeze the most from him. Based on what I've heard about his time down here, Maddon sounds like the kind of manager that would work well for Rasmus. He seems like a guy who's more likely to respond to a hug than a kick in the ass, which is all it ever seems the Cards were willing to give him when captain hard ass Chris Carpenter and Pujols were the tone setters in their locker room. He might be a good fit for Maddon, because Maddon loves his platoons and matchup influenced lineups. Rasmaus needs to be protected against lefties where he has a .213/.287/.361/.648 career split.
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There's a guy I work with who totally believes it. I definitely went through a conspiracy phase back in the day, but then as the internet became more of a thing and I had access to more information it became obvious how much of them were just made up of exaggerations, overreactions, mistakes or just plain bull [expletive]. It's depressing how many people don't take advantage of how much learning they have at their fingertips and they only dwell in places that treat these theories like gospel. It's a bit scary how you'll hear people rattle off things like chemtrails or not landing on the moon or Truther crap like they're established and accepted facts. It's a lot easier for some to buy into faceless nefarious pupptermasters than it is to chalk things up to a random and chaotic universe. At least someone is in charge.
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If you're going to shoehorn in some comedic editorial narrative tropes into a flimsy analytic vehicle, I prefer Daniel Tosh satirizing ESPN's Sports Science.
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I agree with you, but it's much easier to think of him as dumb because I still can't get over Otsuka/Eaton for Gonzalez/Young Yeah, that was one of 16 trades he made that year alone. He basically came in and wanted to change the organization from top to bottom and became a baseball GM day trader. Daniels has made some ridiculously lopsided trades one way or the other. It's not very often both teams came out well.
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The Winter Meetings Thread
Elrhino replied to David's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I hope its us but I feel like its SF I think I'd rather have Anderson for that tier of starter, but I'm not really sure. I think I would agree, but it's 2:30a and I forgot he was a thing. Anderson's issues have been more injury related than anything. To me, Masterson is probably more mechanical and will probably cost a bit more than Anderson or he just actually sucks. They're both a lottery ticket though so I think I would trust the decision of the FO and who they think Bosio would be most likely to fix. I'm in the Anderson lottery ticket camp. He's a legit TOR pitcher when healthy (2.91 ERA, 2.99 FIP, 3.55 xFIP pitching in Colorado last year) . His injury issues last year weren't arm/shoulder related (not that a back injury isn't worrying). The Cubs are the type of franchise who can take a gamble on him. They're in Win Now mode, and if it doesn't work out they have the salary padding to eat a short term bad contract and a small army of end of rotation candidates to eat up his missed innings. I almost prefer Anderson to Shields, given the contracts they're likely to get. -
Travis Wood in Texas? That would be fun bad. Remember when people thought Jon Daniels was an elite FO guy? LOL. My friend who was working with the Reds (and is no longer with them) was drooling over him 2 years ago at the SABR conference. That was short lived. You mean the guy who took a franchise at rock bottom following the ARod debacle, and took them to multiple World Series and built the league's best farm system? Yeah, I remember that. He's made some desperation moves the past couple of years. Just like Beane last year, and Theo at the end with Boston. When your window is open, you go all in. Once it closes, who knows when it will be open again (which is why Friedman and Maddon jumped ship in Tampa). But Daniels is just a year removed from putting a 90 win team on the field and his scouting and player development system is still cranking out prospects like Odor, Gallo and Alfaro.
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The Winter Meetings Thread
Elrhino replied to David's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
I would give the Nats anything they wanted for Harper. But other than that, I'm not really wowed by the bats being linked in trade rumors. I just kinda want to see how it all shakes out when our super blue chips start getting MLB at bats, and maybe revisit the trade market in July. Really have no desire to start trading guys with 6-7 WAR ceilings for a 3 WAR player like Upton (especially a rental) or a constant injury risk like CarGo.