ALCS Game 1 1. Alcides Escobar ® SS 2. Nori Aoki (L) RF 3. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 4. Eric Hosmer (L) 1B 5. Billy Butler ® DH 6. Alex Gordon (L) LF 7. Salvador Perez ® C 8. Omar Infante ® 2B 9. Mike Moustakas (L) 3B James Shields ® 1. Nick Markakis (L) RF 2. Alejandro De Aza (L) LF 3. Adam Jones ® CF 4. Nelson Cruz ® DH 5. Steve Pearce ® 1B 6. J.J. Hardy ® SS 7. Ryan Flaherty (L) 3B 8. Nick Hundley ® C 9. Jonathan Schoop ® 2B Chris Tillman ®
The mistake you're making is that thinking that these things somehow are inherently opposed by numbers and probabilities and that doing them is always in conflict with them. And if it actually were the case, which it's not, then it would always be wrong to do them. Yea, I can agree with that mostly.
I 100% believe there is a psychology and sociology to the game. I also believe this in other sports on some level, but I feel like it strongly affects baseball.
There's nothing wrong at all with bunting in the right context. But there's also terrible bunts - like that 3-1 count that Kalhoun bunted on in the ALDS. Why does it have to be a black and white thing...? Sometimes it makes sense, sometimes it doesn't.