Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Ender

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    498

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Ender

  1. Ender
    Over a small sample its extremely luck based, I wouldn't read much into it just yet.
  2. Ender
    Oh I agree with that, the deal was just terrible, too long and too much money. Most of the deals made this winter were pretty bad though so maybe I just haven't adjusted to the market yet. I mean Pierre is one of the worst full time OF's in the game in my opinion and he got a huge contract too.
  3. Ender
    The fact he turned it around in May suggests that the cold April with the wind blowing in at Wrigley probably had a lot to do with his slump. Throw in the injury and I wouldn't suggest that he's reverting back to career averages. Last year was probably his career year so not suggesting he'll repeat it but when that wind starts to blow out at Wrigley I'm guessing his OPS jumps at least .50 points.
  4. Ender
    or the brewers could enter June with a 15 game lead That would still change the look of the central :). The results could be anywhere from a Brewer collapse to them running away with the division but it will say a lot about both teams whatever happens.
  5. Ender
    Brewers have the same brutal schedule with games @NYM, @PHI, @SD, @LAD and vs Minn, vs Atl. This next 20 days could completely change the look of the central.
  6. Ender
    Not excited about it, I just happened to make that post on the fantasy baseball forum I visit about 5 minutes before checking this forum. Since I happened to have already done the research and the top post was about Marquis I copy and pasted it.
  7. Ender
    i think that a pitcher we've signed to a sizeable three year deal is pretty much guaranteed to be on "a roster by all-star break", but that's just me. but anyway, you remind me of a sox fan. just be happy your team is leading the division. no need to critique ours. to tell you the truth, we're not all that concerned with our team being validated in the eyes of another team's fanbase, if you are, that's great. the brewers are off to a great start, kudos. Sorry I didn't mean Marquis would be off the cubs roster, the post was made for a fantasy forum and was just copy and pasted. I don't think Marquis will be worthy of being on a fantasy baseball roster come the all star break. Since they use smaller rosters and K's are very important that doesn't say much about whether he should be the #4 on a real roster.
  8. Ender
    To be honest I think the Cubs have a) played in a pitchesr park so far this year which won't continue and b) have had one of the easiest schedules in baseball for pitchers. Now to be fair I think the NL central is going to be a low offense division in general other than the Cubs which well, Cub pitchers don't have to face. The Brewers are the only other above average offense in the division and they are so young its probably going to be inconsistent. I think Marquis stinks but maybe the fact he has such easy competition means he'll end up with numbers that make him valuable for a trade before other teams realize why he wasn't terrible.
  9. Ender
    This is a post I made for fantasy baseball purposes, read what you will into it but I just wouldn't get excited about him yet...
  10. Ender
    There isn't enough data to come up with a meaningful expected W-L record.
  11. Ender
    I would argue your bullpen would go to hell eventually. What with Kiki Codero being an average closer in Texas for most of his career and Turnbow being the guy Cordero beat out. I also think Ben Sheets will eventually break down, he always seems too. Plus I think at some point JJ Hardy will wake up and probably bring Geoff Jenkins with him. You guys have a good team, but to think you haven't been lucky is laughable. I don't know about lucky, Bush has pitched poorly as has Sheets to offset the other starters. Cordero has been a good closer his entire career other than April last year. While Hardy is hitting great Hall isn't hitting well at all. Jenkins just isn't facing lefties, he's an .870+ OPS guy when he does that. For every hot player the Brewers have they have a cold one too. I'd say the record is largely due to having an easy schedule though. A lot of wins against the Cardinals, Astros and Pirates who have all been just terrible this year.
  12. Ender
    RS/RA doesn't tell you very much at this point in the season. The data set is simply too small and one game changes things too much. I am a huge Brewer fan and I don't think the Brewers are significantly better than the Cubs. I do think the Cubs pitching will collapse eventually but I don't think the Brewers will keep hitting like they are now either so they offset each other.
  13. Ender
    Nope, I haven't picked the Brewers to win the division in 15 years, I don't let fandom get in the way of predictions. If an IF goes down the Brewers have a vet to take over. They have Braun and Rottino tearing up AAA who can come up and fill in. They have Gross who would start vs righties on almost any team sitting on the bench most nights. Gwynn is an adequate CF. If they lose a SP they have villaneuva who can step in and not really lose much AND Gallardo who is one of the top pitching prospects in baseball. The team is going to weather injuries better than the Cubs, especially an injury to a starting pitcher. The one guy that would just kill the Brewers is if Fielder goes down, they don't have a real viable backup at 1B in the minors or on the club. Its a deeper team with less top end talent.
  14. Ender
    I think Fielder is going to have a huge year but I'd still rather have Lee. Lee is an outstanding defensive 1B and his power will come around once that wind starts blowing out more often. I just don't think its as big an advantage Cubs as was stated earlier in the thread. The Cubs and Brewers match up well with each other, I think it will be a fun race all year. My money personally is on the Brewers because I think they have more depth and can weather an injury better and well because they already have a head start. I don't think anyone runs away with things though, it will be close and come down to a few games one way or the other.
  15. Ender
    Jenkins had an .871 OPS last year vs righties, Mench had an .877 vs lefties. Jenkins has had a higher OPS than Soriano in 2005. Soriano has had an OPS only 10 points higher than Jenkins over the past three years and well below Jenkins vs righties and mench vs lefties over the past three years. Jenkins is a better fielder. I think you are the one wearing glasses. As for Fielder he's a tough read, he's only 22 years old and posted over an .800 OPS last year. He has an .896 OPS so far this year and i expect him to end the season around .900. Lee will be better than him but its not near the huge gap that you assume it is. Sheets has been better than Zambrano over the past 4 months of baseball now and his best year is better than Z's best year so its hard to give any advantage to Zambrano, it might be a push though as I already said.
  16. Ender
    There I fixed it. Bush might have a 6 ERA but its a BABIP and strand rate driven ERA. His K rate, BB rate and GB rate have all been outstanding this year and the ERA/WHIP will come around. Sheets/Zambrano is probably safest to put as a push but personally I think Sheets is healthy and Zambrano has arm fatigue so if one of them is going to revert back to stud #1 status this year my money is on Sheets. I think the Cubs and Brewers match up pretty well, I think the Brewers have a bit more depth but the Cubs have more star power. Both teams will really be tested over the rest of the month playing a lot of top teams outside the Central so it will be very interesting to see how things end up at the end of May.
  17. Ender
    He had one game last year where he totally tilted against the Brewers, probably why they bring it up. He was cruising and got pinched a couple times and then totally blew up. He was pacing all over the mound and yelling etc. I'm guessing they always think of that when talking about him.
  18. Ender
    Its between .290-.300. He certainly won't be as bad as he has been this year, but he'll be the pitcher who posted a 3.64 ERA/ 1.34 post all star break last year who only had 2 really good months the entire season. He has been abused for 3+ years and its catching up to him. And what will Ben Sheets be? Hard to say, players coming off a lingering injury are harder to predict. My guess is he's in the low 3's with a solid WHIP but lower K rate than normal. He's a better pitcher than Zambrano in my opinion but Carlos has the better stuff, he's just more of a thrower than a pitcher. I really do think the abuse has gotten to Zambrano's arm though, I don't think he's going to ever have that huge breakout year that was expected before because of it.
  19. Ender
    Its between .290-.300. He certainly won't be as bad as he has been this year, but he'll be the pitcher who posted a 3.64 ERA/ 1.34 post all star break last year who only had 2 really good months the entire season. He has been abused for 3+ years and its catching up to him.
  20. Ender
    Exactly. That chart of course includes a bunch of throwing errors by Hall his first week in CF that he's fixed. It also doesn't really mean much since the defensive problems are already indicated in runs allowed. Run differentials mean almost nothing right now, you simply need more data to make them meaningful. If the Brewers have scored less than they have given up at the all star break we can tell, over one month its just useless info. Right now they stand at 15 projected wins and 18 actual wins, thats really not that far off base given how strong the end of the bullpen has been and how week the bottom end has been. If that isn't enough a -1 FLD puts them 9th in the NL in fielding which is average. The -8 for pitchers means the Brewers pitchers have been allowing a lot of balls to be put in play, with such a small sample size thats most likely just due to luck more than anything since the team K's plenty enough.
  21. Ender
    Fielder, Hall and Hardy are all league average in BABIP(right around .300) so not sure what you are talking about. The Brewers probably have the most depth of any team in the NL, what they lack is top end talent not depth. Its fine if you don't think they will stay in 1st but at least use arguments that make some sense. Entering the season I thought the Cubs pitching would hold them back and the Brewers bullpen would hold them back. So far neither of these have been a major weakness. From May 11th until May 30th the Brewers play every game against a playoff calibre team so we'll see how they come out of it. After that stretch I think you'll get a much better view at how good the team is.
  22. Ender
    Their lineup to date is better than the Cubs. I just don't think they are running away with the div., which I loosely define as being 10 games up on Sept. 1. They very well could win it, however. Will it continue to be so once Soriano starts to hit? Having gotten nothing from Soriano, the Brewers have still only scored 5 more runs than the Cubs - 117-112. and will hill, lilly and marquis continue to be three of the best pitchers in the NL? Will Z continue to suck? Will our 5 starter spot continue to put up a 10+ ERA? Yes Z will continue to suck, though the 5th slot is sure to be better.
  23. Ender
    Two games later the run differential no longer looks so bad.
  24. Ender
    Their lineup to date is better than the Cubs. I just don't think they are running away with the div., which I loosely define as being 10 games up on Sept. 1. They very well could win it, however. Will it continue to be so once Soriano starts to hit? Having gotten nothing from Soriano, the Brewers have still only scored 5 more runs than the Cubs - 117-112. Brewers will see a large upgrade at 3B at some point and Hall hasn't been hitting much so its not like they don't have underperforming guys as well. As for the run differentials, those don't tell you very much with only one months data. Truth is the Brewers have a very good end of bullpen and very midiocre middle of the bullpen so they are going to get blown out a few times and win a lot of close games all year. I don't think they run away with it but I think they are the best overall team in the division so have as good a shot as anyone to take it.
  25. Ender
    Don't worry, I'm sure the Cubs will start to give up more runs to even this out!
×
×
  • Create New...