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Sammy Sofa

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Everything posted by Sammy Sofa

  1. Sammy Sofa
    I honestly am having trouble reading that post and I'm not sure what you're saying. You seem to be defending LaHair? Attacking people's projections of Rizzo being likely to surpass LaHair's value/production from 2011? Again, you're talking about a guy who managed a whopping 0.1 WAR vs. a guy who is projected to give the Cubs a 4-5 WAR value. I'd pick Rizzo every time over LaHair and not even think about it twice.
  2. Sammy Sofa
    This. Depending on where you are on the win spectrum, it's actually beneficial to have the less consistent team. There is more potential upside variance. A team projected to win 92 games wants less variance, but a team projected to win 85 loves the variance. It's not as simple as "consistent = better" because that's just not true. It's not a bad idea to build your team to have a mix of each type of player. People. Pay attention to this post. Masterfully said. Well, yeah, who was saying you should or could build a team of only the hypothetically consistent Rizzo vs. someone streakier like Soriano? This tangent was born out of the idea of whether Rizzo's projected output would be more valuable than 6 weeks of great/good LaHair, and I think it's safe to choose the former. We're talking an extreme and extremely limited type of "streak" here. I think he's getting at the fact that you were wrong for saying that "consistent > inconsistent" is basically a known fact and that you would be crazy to think otherwise. You can make an argument for either approach. I prefer the former, especially in this particular example.
  3. Sammy Sofa
    Rizzo's second month was much, much better than LaHair's second month.
  4. Sammy Sofa
    If only there were ways to actually determine which player brought more value to the Cubs last year than just declaring them to be a "wash"...
  5. Sammy Sofa
    This. Depending on where you are on the win spectrum, it's actually beneficial to have the less consistent team. There is more potential upside variance. A team projected to win 92 games wants less variance, but a team projected to win 85 loves the variance. It's not as simple as "consistent = better" because that's just not true. It's not a bad idea to build your team to have a mix of each type of player. People. Pay attention to this post. Masterfully said. Well, yeah, who was saying you should or could build a team of only the hypothetically consistent Rizzo vs. someone streakier like Soriano? This tangent was born out of the idea of whether Rizzo's projected output would be more valuable than 6 weeks of great/good LaHair, and I think it's safe to choose the former. We're talking an extreme and extremely limited type of "streak" here.
  6. Sammy Sofa
    Nope.
  7. Sammy Sofa
    Amazingly bad analogy.
  8. Sammy Sofa
    LaHair had A hot streak.
  9. Sammy Sofa
    You should be.
  10. Sammy Sofa
    No, this is simply wrong. And you ideally can basically count on Rizzo to exceed LaHair's production; LaHair was THAT bad.
  11. Sammy Sofa
    Because his early production is skewed by these monster games in a relatively small period; it's not like the Cubs get to win any of those wins twice. Then, pretty quickly, he became a liability and a hole in the lineup. How would a guy consistently hitting well throughout the year not be more valuable in terms of trying to win more games over the course of the season? LaHair was a 0.1 WAR player last year, and Rizzo ideally projects to be about 4-5, right?
  12. Sammy Sofa
    LaHair hit out of his mind in April. He managed an insane 1.251 OPS before plummeting to .792 in May and not getting above .700 again until September. Yeah, his first half OPS is .883, but it's clearly hugely skewed. Rizzo ideally hitting much more consistently each month is much more valuable over the course of the season than LaHair's 2011, so let's stop with the "oh, their first halves will probably even out at best;" LaHair was a fat load by some point in May, and it's not like his games in April double-counted or something.
  13. Sammy Sofa
    [expletive], I thought it was WSR.
  14. Sammy Sofa
    .... O...K? Not sure where anyone questioned his ability or anything. I'm saying it was worrisome out of genuine concern for someone who has had serious emotional issues in the past.
  15. Sammy Sofa
    Yes you do.
  16. Sammy Sofa
    Yeah, given his history it couldn't help but be worrisome seeing him say what he said.
  17. Sammy Sofa
    Where do you get the post game stuff? It's just quotes posted on Twitter by Biggs and Pompei mostly. Fox's local post-game show showed Marshall at the podium. He was mega-emotional and talked about the game "affecting him too much."
  18. Sammy Sofa
    Yeah, but that would be really stupid.
  19. Sammy Sofa
    Eh. I'd really have no problem with Bates and Marinelli sticking around. Don't mind either, but I don't think it will hurt if they are tossed either. (Is Bates, Cutler's guy? If so he should stay actually) He is. Anything you can do to maximize Cutler I'm in favor for. I definitely think the offense is salvageable. That said, I don't think Bates is the only solution. If they want to hire a HC who can bring in someone who isn't an OC monster, hey, great. Bates hast done ANYTHING noticeable to maximize Cutler this year. I have no idea what his input/sway is. Apparently he and Cutler have a really good relationship and they had success in Denver and that's about all I know. I have zero problem if he goes; I'm just saying I'd also have no problem if they kept him around.
  20. Sammy Sofa
    Eh. I'd really have no problem with Bates and Marinelli sticking around. Don't mind either, but I don't think it will hurt if they are tossed either. (Is Bates, Cutler's guy? If so he should stay actually) He is. Anything you can do to maximize Cutler I'm in favor for. I definitely think the offense is salvageable. That said, I don't think Bates is the only solution. If they want to hire a HC who can bring in someone who isn't an OC monster, hey, great.
  21. Sammy Sofa
    Eh. I'd really have no problem with Bates and Marinelli sticking around.
  22. Sammy Sofa
    If there was no God, we would have a chance. It's obvious that God hates us. I've got this bag full of oranges RIGHT HERE.
  23. Sammy Sofa
    And how.
  24. Sammy Sofa
    Chicago sports are in a sad, sad state when the thing that brings me the most joy is the implosion of hockey.
  25. Sammy Sofa
    I still want that Marshall gif, dammit. LET ME HAVE THAT ONE THING.
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