That's great and all, and I like Nate, but when it comes to soccer I (and a host of others) know a lot more than you think we do. Besides, even if we just stipulate his 9% number, that is still a significant increase. Moreover, you haven't rebutted the points that US, Wolf and I have made regarding England playing the rest of the matches. Because I don't think that's likely to make a difference either. England's last game is the fifth game, not the sixth, so it'd be hard for them to have already clinched the group before that match. Although at this point the permutations are making my head hurt so maybe I'm goofing that up. The 3rd group matches are played at the same time. Not sure what you're trying to say here. And Sponge, I think that's a decent point, but Algeria is terrible. England is going to stomp them. The pressure will be high, but mostly on Capello and Green.