Right, if you really believe that guys like Estrada, Hardy, Jenkins, Hart will continue to way outpeform their career numbers. I think they come back to the pack in the second half big time. Hell even Prince Fielder is having a career year. Estrada is actually having a below average year right now, other than his injury plagued 2005 he's been a .770+ OPS catcher. Hart projected as a .900ish OPS player so he could keep it up. Jenkins is doing exactly what would be expected of his 3 year average against righties. Hardy I'll give you though. This team is not playing over its head for the season. Who in the hell predicted a 900OPS for Hart? Find me one publication that did. His PECOTA 75th percentile is 904. His weighted mean is 870, so yeah, the most accurate projection system predicted it. He did OPS over 800 in the majors and over 900 MLE in the minors last year. Ok, I guess I will have to concede some thought he would be pretty good. Just curious what did they project Murton as? Probably right around where his BABIP normalized MLE is for this year since hes playing more than once a week in Iowa. PECOTAs weakness is it doesnt do a great job of factoring in incompetent management. And obvioiusly its not going to be exactly correct about everyone, thats a ridiculous thought. I was just curious, but I am glad the NSBB poster once again has to be an ass. This place is unreal anymore. Seemed as though you were trying to make a statement by pointing out a player who obviously has worse numbers this year than he should. But I guess you werent. FYI, PECOTA predicted a weighted mean of 304/365/478 for Matty Mur.