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Geech

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Everything posted by Geech

  1. Geech
    And people have been arguing that Izturis is simply wrong for this team. His negatives in the form of a bad contract and terrible hitting, outweigh his positives. It would have been better for the Cobs to simply let Maddux leave in free agency than to take on a redundant, problematic player.
  2. Geech
    That hardly justifies snarky responses.
  3. Geech
    I'm not serious. I have a BP subscription myself.
  4. Geech
    I don't need stats, buddy, I watch the PLAYERS.
  5. Geech
    Five year PECOTA projectsion from BP: Year AVG OBP SLG VORP WARP 2006 .262 .305 .337 5.2 3.3 2007 .265 .308 .245 6.3 3.3 2008 .260 .309 .335 4.5 2.8 2009 .265 .312 .341 6.1 2.9 2010 .257 .304 .334 2.5 2.0 Doesn't look good. Oh, VORP this and VORP that. We need to get all that calculator crap out of baseball.
  6. Geech
    Jacque's production has been mediocre for a corner outfielder, and this has actually been one of his better years so far. Given the length and dollars of the contract, it sure looks like another case of Jim Hendry overpaying for mediocrity... Which is precisely what the Cobs are risking with Izturis. He's never even had an average offensive season, and as much as his defense is lauded he won't be a good player without some very substantial improvements at the plate. While those improvements might come, the Cobs already have substantial dollars tied up in him next year. If they end up starting Cedeno at second with Izturis at short, then the only room for improvement is left field in a very weak free agent class. In short, this move is the precurser to another year of offensive futility.
  7. Geech
    Rusch, Jones and Neifi. He never claimed they paid for good talent.
  8. Geech
    Worth a shot, maybe, but not at 4.5 million.
  9. Geech
    An expensive Neifi clone that puts the Cobs on the hook for something like 4.5 million next year. This is just more of Hendry overpaying for mediocre players. Oops, looks like I'm a little slow on the draw.
  10. Geech
    Oh, no way. I don't have a link handy, but someone used to have a quote in his sig from Eyre talking about how Eyre had established some ideal terms with his agent and Hendry's offer just blew those away.
  11. Geech
    Well, having a predictably good OBP is worthwhile in and of itself, I think, and patience has other adantages, as well. The high ISoD guy would be better at making pitchers work and helping the team get into the weaker middle relievers.
  12. Geech
    I think he's saying that ISoD is more predictable because it is less reliant on outside forces like defense and therefore less prone to flukish swings.
  13. Geech
    Abreu's power was down last year, too, but I agree in general.
  14. Geech
    The reports I've seen haven't mentioned any minor leaguers at all.
  15. Geech
    I don't care who you are, that's funny.
  16. Geech
    I hope we get someone good.
  17. Geech
    Nixon really isn't in the same leage as Abreu. Even if Abreu's drop in power is permanent, his OBP is still tons better than Nixon.
  18. Geech
    Who?
  19. Geech
    That still isn't really useful. If you have two players, one who hits .250/.400/.600 and one who hits .350/.400/.600 the difference between these two players in terms of runs is going to be negligible. Anyway, it's possible that the slight difference would lean in favor of the player batting .350, but that's not even guaranteed. For one thing, it ignores the other advantages of patience, like wearing pitchers down faster and getting into weak middle relief. For another, the first player's superior peripheral stats provide a buffer against BABIP-related flukes. The Big Hurt probably isn't a victim of BABIP, but he's a useful example because his patience and power allow him to be very productive despite a .240 average.
  20. Geech
    But that's not even true. Giambi produces more runs with his OBP than Ichiro because much of his OBP is from extra base hits. You can't just eliminate power from the equation and expect to come up with good results.
  21. Geech
    He comes up with some great stuff, but it gets so hard to remember. It's much easier to rely on the old standbys.
  22. Geech
    Indeed. It's far better to find a hitter who typically posts both good OBP and good power than to try and worry about how much of your OBP is walks and how much is average. That's just so far down on the list of concerns.
  23. Geech
    I'm not really sure that SLG actually is our biggest problem. But that aside for the moment, why didn't you frame the debate in those terms? Why squabble over the tertiary matter of how much of the OBP is average?
  24. Geech
    Not after the Rusch and Neifi contracts.
  25. Geech
    And rather nonsensical for that matter. There's more to scoring runs than average and OBP, so framing the debate is such narrow parameters is just an exercise in futility.
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