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Diffusion

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Everything posted by Diffusion

  1. Diffusion
    :lol: IMB. Nice move by the Marlins. Very nice move.
  2. Diffusion
    Let me just say that I think it absolutely ridiculous that every single once half decent starter in the game is seemingly now capable of commanding at least $7m per year in free agency. Last year and so far this have produced contracts with these average salaries... Kris Benson, $7.5m per Matt Clement, $8.5m per Al Leiter, $7m per Jon Lieber, $7m per Derek Lowe, $9m per Kevin Millwood, $7m per Eric Milton, $8.5m per Russ Ortiz, $8.25m per Carl Pavano, $10m per Odalis Perez, $8m per Brad Radke, $9m per Jaret Wright, $7.33m per Paul Byrd, $7.13m per Esteban Loaiza, $7.13m per Not an ace in sight. Crazy money.
  3. Diffusion
    Expect runs. Lots of them. But not from our offence.
  4. Diffusion
    Very clever, Jim. Drive up the bidding for Burnett with an insane $39m/3yr offer, then the favourites to sign him will have to guarantee a fifth year in order to get him. The favourites being the Cardinals. So Burnett signs with the Cardinals, requires his third, fourth and fifth Tommy John surgeries before the contract is up, and mwahaha the Cards will have spent just as much on an injured and ineffective pitcher as you have on Eyre, Howry, Neifi, Macias, Rusch and your next three stupid signings all put together! Just make sure that he doesn't accept your $39m/3yr offer. Don't want to get burned with a player you don't even need.
  5. Diffusion
    Why is Cedeno at SS and Walker at 2B more complicated? After all, those are their natural positions, and we already have both under lock and key for 2006. It's more complicated because Hendry appears to be looking to trade Walker (and possibly Cedeno if the right deal came along). He wants guys with range who can "catch the ball." That doesn't describe Walker. I like Todd but if I had my druthers we would have someone else playing 2B. No, but "on the whole an above average second baseman" does describe Walker.
  6. Diffusion
    Why is Cedeno at SS and Walker at 2B more complicated? After all, those are their natural positions, and we already have both under lock and key for 2006. They are too inexpensive. They must suck. Let's give Walker a new $50m/5yr deal!
  7. Diffusion
    Ronny is murding the pitching in Venzeula this Winter. I'd say he is going to be able to fill SS if need be. For the record, he's hitting .357/.396/.429 in 98 at-bats in Venezuela. All batting average, sadly. Come on Ronny, more patience, more power. Oh, as long as he can hit .320 in the majors we'll be fine .320 is a lot to ask. 2 people responded to this and both thought I was serious? heh I just can't believe that you thought I thought you were serious! :P
  8. Diffusion
    Why is Cedeno at SS and Walker at 2B more complicated? After all, those are their natural positions, and we already have both under lock and key for 2006.
  9. Diffusion
    Hence the Booze? No, that's just the alcoholism. And that's just the wife, I should add.
  10. Diffusion
    Hence the Booze? No, that's just the alcoholism.
  11. Diffusion
    Ronny is murding the pitching in Venzeula this Winter. I'd say he is going to be able to fill SS if need be. For the record, he's hitting .357/.396/.429 in 98 at-bats in Venezuela. All batting average, sadly. Come on Ronny, more patience, more power. Oh, as long as he can hit .320 in the majors we'll be fine Sadly, hitting .320 in the majors is difficult.
  12. Diffusion
    People have been getting NY drunk again just to take advantage.
  13. Diffusion
    Ronny is murding the pitching in Venzeula this Winter. I'd say he is going to be able to fill SS if need be. For the record, he's hitting .357/.396/.429 in 98 at-bats in Venezuela. All batting average, sadly. Come on Ronny, more patience, more power.
  14. Diffusion
    The final numbers: Overall, hitters batting in the #1 spot lead off an inning in 39.5% of their PA in 2005. In the AL they lead off an inning 38.1% of the time, while in the NL they lead off an inning 40.7% of the time. Looks like I was right about the AL/NL difference. :) Bob, you rule. You find out all sorts of stuff that I have no idea how to work out. I would be HUGELY interested in a base/out breakdown for every single lineup position for, say, 2003-05. EG, how often did an NL hitter batting seventh come up with men on first and third with two outs for 2003-05? If you want to PM me that kind of stuff, or link to a place where I can work it out for myself, that'd be awesome.
  15. Diffusion
    Doesn't it also benefit the Cubs if the market is high? Perhaps he overpaid for these 2 guys but he effectively knocked a lot of teams out of the FA pitcher market thus creating more of a demand for pitching via trades. If his intention was to drive the price up so high that teams with limited resources couldn't get players they wanted then I'd have to say it worked out pretty well in that he got the 2 guys he wanted and everyone else is left overpaying. The trick now will be to use that surplus pitching he has in trades for OF help. A good point worth considering.
  16. Diffusion
    NY, come on, Furcal is a very good basestealer. Trouble is, being a very good basestealer is secondary to being a very good hitter. And Furcal isn't a very good hitter. Not even for a shortstop. He's good, don't get me wrong, but he's not $9.7m better than Ronny good. He's not "make me the best paid hitter on the team" good. He's not "give me a longer deal than you've ever handed out to anyone before Jim" good. He's also a very good defender. But then again so's Ronny.
  17. Diffusion
    I think Hendry has unwisely burnt a lot of bridges with Nomar.
  18. Diffusion
    I don't know if Furcal is a typical example, or how much of that had to do with the Braves' lineup and its construction. A few other example. Juan Pierre had 719 plate appearances last year. 292 saw him lead-off an inning. Leading off an inning he had a .336 on-base percentage. That meant just 13.630% of his plate appearances saw him lead off the inning by getting on base in front of the heart of the order. I think you would have to look at it from more than just leading off the inning. Sure the leadoff hitter may only leadoff the inning 13.63%, but it is also true that he comes up often needing to extend the inning, in order to bring up the middle of the order. So then you're looking at him not being a leadoff hitter, but just another hitter from whom you're looking for a high OBP. Which should be every hitter. So you're looking for just another hitter. So, my point, in short: when looking for a good leadoff hitter, look for a good hitter with a good OBP, because he's only going to spend about 11-16% of his PAs leading off an inning by getting on base in front of the middle of the order.
  19. Diffusion
    Same stats for AL leadoff hitters in 2005... Podsednik, 41.901% (15.669%) Roberts, 40.938% (14.531%) Jeter, 38.697% (15.824%) *Sizemore, 38.385% (13.314%) Damon, 38.227% (13.953%) Ichiro, 37.618% (12.179%) Stewart, 36.728% (11.853%) Figgins, 36.667% (13.472%)
  20. Diffusion
    Okay, some more detailed numbers for NL leadoff hitters in 2005... % of PA's in which they led off innings (% of PA's in which they led off inning and got on-base) Clark, 43.620% (16.320%) Rollins, 43.443% (13.525%) Counsell, 41.791% (13.731%) Furcal, 41.655% (13.788%) Reyes, 41.610% (11.869%) Wilkerson, 40.696% (11.800%) *Pierre, 40.612% (13.630%) Eckstein, 40.252% (13.745%) *Taveras, 39.055% (13.071%) * Denotes that player spent enough time hitting down the order that it's perhaps worth noting
  21. Diffusion
    Higher than I expected too, to be honest.
  22. Diffusion
    I don't know if Furcal is a typical example, or how much of that had to do with the Braves' lineup and its construction. A few other example. Juan Pierre had 719 plate appearances last year. 292 saw him lead-off an inning. Leading off an inning he had a .336 on-base percentage. That meant just 13.630% of his plate appearances saw him lead off the inning in front of the heart of the order.
  23. Diffusion
    Rafael Furcal led off an inning 287 times last year, and reached 95 times. That's a .331 on-base percentage. He had 689 plate appearances in total. That means that just 13.788% of Furcal's plate appearances saw him get on in front of the heart of the order leading off an inning.
  24. Diffusion
    The Reds will respond with demands for quality. They'll bring Pie into the discussion. Your next step?
  25. Diffusion
    Because it's wrong. Good for him. Who says we have to fill SS via FA? Let's argue about the need for a bonafide leadoff hitter all night then. What percentage of innings does a leadoff hitter actually lead off?
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