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erik316wttn

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Everything posted by erik316wttn

  1. I will if you will, my man. I would never ignore you. Your posts are incredibly entertaining. That's what I'm aiming for.
  2. You know, I know you're trying to mock me (and failing, I might add), but does it occur to you that you're making yourself look like a bigger idiot than I ever have? Just an FYI. i beg to differ. NSBB is hilarious sometimes. A vaild (yet tired) point is posted, and it's then quoted out of context by people who think they're witty but really just make themselves looking worse than the people they're attempting to mock. OH, this one is my favorite: people complain in the game threads, and then there are twice as many people who complain about the complaining, which just makes it worse in the first place. I will if you will, my man.
  3. I hope Koyie Hill gets the start tomorrow. Soto does not look like a major league hitter up there right now. He doesn't look like he has any confidence. I'm not saying he should be benched and placed behind hill or anything but he needs something to wake him up. Holy [expletive]. Edit: nevermind I hate getting into disagreements with you because you just post 2 word responses that don't directly address anything and call it proving your point. You're judging a player's self-confidence based on 7 PAs. I didn't think that needed to be spelled out. Based on 2009 and 7 PA's in 2010.
  4. You know, I know you're trying to mock me (and failing, I might add), but does it occur to you that you're making yourself look like a bigger idiot than I ever have? Just an FYI. i beg to differ. NSBB is hilarious sometimes. A vaild (yet tired) point is posted, and it's then quoted out of context by people who think they're witty but really just make themselves looking worse than the people they're attempting to mock. OH, this one is my favorite: people complain in the game threads, and then there are twice as many people who complain about the complaining, which just makes it worse in the first place.
  5. You know, I know you're trying to mock me (and failing, I might add), but does it occur to you that you're making yourself look like a bigger idiot than I ever have? Just an FYI.
  6. What nonsense are you babbling? You literally have no idea what you think you're arguing about. Well, I guess that settles it. I've been proven wrong. Make a point with any substance to it and I'll gladly take it back. Go ahead. ONE HUNDRED AND TWO YEARS. THAT'S THE POINT. I wasn't the one making any real points. I was agreeing with Kyle and his "gamblers fallacy" argument, and how people use the law of averages as a crutch to think that all the bad is going to be canceled out by an equal amount of good, or that some good just "has" to happen because something has been bad for so long, and that's not always the case. But yes, 102 years is a prime example. You may be sick of hearing it. I'm sick of saying it. But it's true.
  7. The reason it is misapplied is because people expect it to act as a cosmic force where past deviations are cancelled out by future deviations in the opposite direction. I understand your point. I just don't think it's practical in this scenario. It's a finite season. 2 losses in a period where most teams would expect one win should always subtract 1 win from a team's projected totals. I don't know what the odds are of one win making the difference for a playoff spot or not, but it's definitely non-zero. The Cubs' playoff odds are a little worse than they were before the season started. Similarly, any team that started out 2-0 can add one win to their projected total. Damn you and your logical, well-thought-out arguments!
  8. What nonsense are you babbling? You literally have no idea what you think you're arguing about. Well, I guess that settles it. I've been proven wrong.
  9. We did work a pretty good pitcher tonight, too. A lot of balls were hit hard, a lot were hit into bad luck. It would have been nice to score a run with a hit, though. Marshall looks great so far. There are positives. I'm just hoping we win a few here and there and don't have something like a 2-8 start to the year.
  10. Did he murder any puppies on his trot around the bases?
  11. The reason it is misapplied is because people expect it to act as a cosmic force where past deviations are cancelled out by future deviations in the opposite direction. This. The law of averages is a bunch of crap.
  12. You all realize most projects have this team around .500, and you can subtract one win from any early season projects thanks to the 0-2 start. i don't think that's how it works That's *exactly* how it works. Let's say you project a team to be .500. If they start out 0-2, you don't change your opinion of the team's abilities, but you can only apply it to the future. That .500 team should go 80-80 the rest of the year, finishing 80-82. If you think the team is going to be 81-81 going into the season and you don't change your mind at 0-2, then you are expecting them to go 81-79 the rest of the year. That's gambler's fallacy. How about the law of averages then? Nobody expects a .500 team to win-one lose-one for the whole year. Law of averages? That doesn't apply here. 102 years. There's your "law of averages"
  13. You seriously have to just be trolling/trying to be contrarian on purpose. What? Who is better than Grabow the Cubs could have? It was one game, give the guy a break. Yes he blew the game, but the offense didn't do their part. Wuertz
  14. did your crystal ball tell you that He asked me if I was ever right, and I answered. Don't be hatin. Never said I was always right, but I'm right more often than I'm wrong, and people hate it because it's what they don't want to hear a lot of the time. People hate you because you're annoying. Just gonna throw that one at your pedestal. So then people can use the handy ignore button.
  15. did your crystal ball tell you that He asked me if I was ever right, and I answered. Don't be hatin. Never said I was always right, but I'm right more often than I'm wrong, and people hate it because it's what they don't want to hear a lot of the time.
  16. Are you ever right? I was right when I called ballgame in the 2nd inning on Opening Day. And Soriano got a fluke hit. One hit does not a slump break. You're an absolute clown. Only on weekends if the Kid's party pays enough.
  17. Geo, that big stick you have? It's called a bat. You're supposed to use it to try to hit the ball. Game thread will be up tomorrow morning.
  18. Are you ever right? I was right when I called ballgame in the 2nd inning on Opening Day. And Soriano got a fluke hit. One hit does not a slump break.
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