I've always been a little curious about the strong affection for Dunn here. I'd like to have him (for the right price), but I don't think he's a real lineup changer, and he's probably a year or so from where he should start declining. His career high is 106 RBI - been in the top 10 in the NL three times (8th is his best), his OPS is never close to dominant and figures to hover around .900, at best. His slugging % has been in the top 10 in the NL once in his career. His OBP is well down this year. The only things he's been consistently strong at is drawing walks and hitting homers. Even with that, he's never scored many runs. His walks are down, and his homers figure to start declining in the next year or two. He'll be below average and declining at first base. So...if you give him a 5 year deal, I'd guess we'd look at a guy who'd be around 30-40 homers the next couple of years, then 25-35 after that. Maybe you get 100 RBI out of him once or twice. The walks should further decrease as his power decreases, so he's probably going to be a mid .800's OPS guy in a couple years. He'll be 31 in November. I remember reading a stat that there are zero guys 36 or older with an OPS above .800 this season. The career curves for guys in their 30's are much different now than they used to be. I know there's not a lot else out there at first base, but if we put out a 5 or 6 year, $10-15M deal, I think we'd get fair value for maybe the first two years.