Is anyone else having a deja vu moment? I could have sworn that the Miles excerpt was from an article written weeks ago in response to something Phil Rogers posted at the Tribune... Uh, no. It's just that after nearly 180 pages of discussion here and stuff that's been nothing more than speculation on mainstream media blogs (see Trib) and blogosphere blogs, certain truths have been constant: The Cubs have been steadfast in saying they weren't going to trade Hill, Pie or Colvin. That was true earlier, and it's true now. Talks between the Cubs and Orioles have never gotten to the "yes" or "no" stage despite a report during the convention that the Baltimore owner nixed a 7-for-2 trade. The Cubs remain interested in Roberts. The names I've put out there are the ones I've been led to believe they'll discuss with the Orioles. The Cubs feel it's too early in Colvin's developmental stage to trade him, especially after investing a top draft pick. The Orioles are going to finish last or next-to-last with or without Roberts. The way I read it, the Cubs feel that MacPhail might as well take a decent offer for Roberts and not try to hold people up or risk being stuck with him, if "stuck" is the right word. I've read all kinds of things about deals being close. Nothing has been close. That may change in the next few days, but it seems to me the Cubs are ready to move on with or without Roberts. Thanks, Bruce. I'd offer a package of high ceiling lower level prospects that includes players like Veal and Ceda and maybe a Murton or Patterson and tell MacPhail to take it or leave it. That's about right. But I do doubt very, very much the Cubs will be trading Ceda any time soon. They really like him. Hey Bruce, what are your odds on this trade happening? And what other players do you feel Hendry is unwilling to trade? Anyone we haven't heard mentioned? I'd say the odds are 50-50 at best on this trade happening. Nobody is an "untouchable" in the right trade, but guys like Colvin, Hill, Pie and Ceda aren't going in this kind of deal. I'm sure MacPhail had a hard enough time selling the owner on the Bedard trade. Can you imagine Andy telling Angelos he's going to trade his favorite-son player for a guy or guys he's never, ever heard of, especially guys who haven't played above Double-A ball? I would rather that the Cubs just stand pat at this point. Hopefully Cedeno and Pie can have breakout years. I think that what happens with those two makes or breaks the season. The Cubs offense can not afford for both to disappoint because that would mean two big holes in the lineup - Pie in CF and Theriot at SS since Cedeno doesn't win the job from him. My problem with the Roberts trade from the beginning is that acquiring him would use quality assets from the organization but not solve either of the two lineup concerns (SS and CF). It would only make sense if DeRosa or Roberts had been able to move over to SS and replace Theriot but from what I have read neither is a viable option there.