Jump to content
North Side Baseball
  • Cubs News & Analysis

    Cubs Received the Maximum Version of the Alex Bregman Experience in 2026

    Alex Bregman finished 2026 as a top-10 player in Major League Baseball. Getting there wasn't easy, though.

    Randy Holt
    Image courtesy of Matt Marton-Imagn Images

    Cubs Video

    When Alex Bregman signed a five-year deal with the Chicago Cubs last offseason, the hope was that he'd stabilize the hot corner for the duration of that contract, while adding a playoff-tested persona to the mix. Just about all of that happened, but perhaps not in the way that one might have expected. 

    Signing Bregman marked the second time the Cubs have attempted to solidify the third base position with a multi-year solution lately, and their first earnest attempt to do so since Isaac Paredes in 2024. Matt Shaw's offensive ceiling proved too low for the team to consider it for a second consecutive season, so the Cubs turned to a player they had reportedly coveted before he signed with the Boston Red Sox ahead of the 2025 campaign: Bregman. 

    Considering the team's recent experience with Paredes—also a right-handed hitterwhose swing has been carefully engineered to produce, but one whose power was ultimately stifled by playing home games at Wrigley Field—there were questions about whether Bregman would fit well at his new home park. As a more gap-oriented hitter than his predecessor, though, the concern always should been muted. The team would just have to be patient as he rode out some highs and lows, which proved to be more exaggerated than usual.

    The book on Bregman based on his career splits has long been that he's a steady bat early in the season, with the power manifesting at a later date. These are his month-to-month lines, including 2026: 

    • March/April: .261 AVG, .361 OBP, .148 ISO, 117 wRC+
    • May: .258 AVG, .344 OBP, .203 ISO, 121 wRC+
    • June: .259 AVG, .361 OBP, .195 ISO, 128 wRC+
    • July: .261 AVG, .350 OBP, .225 ISO, 130 wRC+
    • August: .320 AVG, .402 OBP, .248 ISO, 167 wRC+
    • September: .260 AVG, .357 OBP, .219 ISO, 120 wRC+

    In a general sense, that's exactly the type of sequence in which Bregman operated in his first year with the Cubs. The difference lied in the fact that the power was below even his typically modest output in the early-going, leading to some genuine questions about how the five-year deal he signed would look before long. This is how things went for Bregman in 2026, specifically: 

    • March/April: .258 AVG, .350 OBP, .113 ISO, 104 wRC+
    • May: .261 AVG, .331 OBP, .096 ISO, 94 wRC+
    • June: .200 AVG, .348 OBP, .100 ISO, 92 wRC+
    • July: .263 AVG, .330 OBP, .232 ISO, 127 wRC+
    • August: .296 AVG, .364 OBP, .365 ISO, 177 wRC+
    • September: .319 AVG, .427 OBP, .333 ISO, 195 wRC+

    With the exception of June's average being stifled by a mere .211 batting average on balls in play, there was never a month in which Bregman was outright bad. He had some bat path issues and other mechanical adjustments in which he was mired that led to plenty of variance in his ability (or lack thereof) to elevate the baseball, regardless of how much he was squaring up the ball. When it got figured out, though—as it always has throughout his career—it reached heights seldom seen even within his typical career pattern.

    The power output was absolutely massive, and part of what landed Bregman so high up the 2026 leaderboard for position player value. At the end of June, Bregman ranked 72nd among qualifying position players in fWAR (1.6) and 110th in wRC+ (97). By the end of July, he was 50th (2.4) and 91st (104) in the two categories, respectively. Once the power came into play, though, Bregman skyrocketed up the league's ranks. Those last two months catapulted him to a seventh-place finish in fWAR (5.5) and a 29th-place ranking in wRC+. 

    As for those potential issues as a righty navigating Wrigley Field, this is how Bregman's hits were distributed in 2026: 

    Bregman Spray Chart.jpeg

    That gap-to-gap ability certainly came into play, with Bregman's ability to reach the outfield wall in places beyond down the line working to his advantage. While it may be unreasonable to expect that type of power output to happen over a two-month stretch again, Bregman's nature as a cerebral hitter was always going to lead to an appropriate adjustment—even if that adjustment took longer than most of us might've liked. 

    The other important thing within all of this is that Bregman played very good defense in 2026. While there are questions about how he'll handle the position in the latter portion of the deal (given that he'll be 33 early next season), his 9 Outs Above Average were second at the position this year. Considering where the offense landed when it was done, Bregman ended the 2026 season as the best third baseman in baseball. 

    While he may not turn in another season like he did this year, Bregman has plenty working in his favor. He has a short swing that relies on efficiency to generate valuable contact of all kinds, rather than fast swings to garner power. He has a sharp eye at the plate, in a way that allows him to maximize contact, rather than relying on walks to generate value. Those qualities set him apart from some of the other hitters in this lineup. Factor in the intangible qualities that the team was hoping he'd add as a veteran of numerous playoff runs, and he offers at least one position that doesn't have to be a concern for the next handful of seasons, aging curve be damned.

    Follow North Side Baseball For Chicago Cubs News & Analysis

    Recent Cubs Articles

    Recent Cubs Videos


    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments

    There are no comments to display.



    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...