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The Cubs drafted Jaxon Wiggins with the 68th pick in the 2023 draft, with a compensatory pick they acquired when Willson Contreras departed as a free agent. Wiggins is a pitching prospect out of the University of Arkansas and ranked as the 128th-best prospect on our pre-Draft consensus board. Such a ranking is unfair, however, as Wiggins missed the entire 2023 season recovering from Tommy John surgery. Out of sight, out of mind.
Scouting and Signing
The Cubs signed Wiggins away from a return to the Razorbacks for a little over $1.4 million, around $400,000 over slot. This is a high-risk, high-reward pick, a risk made much more palatable by the impressive start Matt Shaw has made to his professional career.
An excellent basketball player, Wiggins has athleticism that translates to the mound. At 6’6", 225 pounds, there’s still room for projection in a frame that produced some of the best velocity in college baseball when healthy.
Wiggins's arsenal is headlined by his fastball, which operates at 95-97 mph but can touch 99. While the pitch can be a little flat, his velocity gives him plenty of margin for error if he can throw it for strikes on a consistent basis. Wiggins also has an above-average slider with solid two-plane tilt; an average changeup that he didn’t throw a ton; and a curveball that’s newer and that the Cubs' development staff will likely view as an untapped resource.
The key for Wiggins, when he returns, will be throwing strikes. In college, he frequently fell behind in counts and lost hitters, walking 43 of them in 66 innings in 2022. Fastball command should be development goal number one when he returns from injury. Regardless, there’s a chance Wiggins moves to the bullpen before long if his strike throwing remains as inconsistent as it was in college.
2023 Performance and 2024 Expectations
There isn’t much to say here, given Wiggins’s injury and recovery timeline. For now, a return to full health is the only concern Cubs fans should have. It should be noted that Ty Nichols, the area scout who recommended Wiggins, had a hand in the selection of both Jordan Wicks and Cade Horton, which should inspire some confidence.
Much like outcomes in the minor leagues, performance metrics in college baseball should be scrutinized, particularly in light of the recently bloated offensive environment. I’d focus more on the fact that Wiggins struck out 110 hitters in 89 innings than an ERA north of 6.00. Make no mistake, though, the Wiggins pick is a swing for the fences, albeit one on which the Cubs are more likely to connect than most MLB organizations might be. The chance of missing altogether is quite high, but the payoff for a flush connection would be impressive.
How you feel about the Wiggins pick, entering 2024? What level do you want to see him reach, as he returns from injury and makes his professional debut?
Interested in learning more about the Chicago Cubs' top prospects? Check out our comprehensive top prospects list that includes up-to-date stats, articles and videos about every prospect, scouting reports, and more!
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