As soon as he laid off those knuckle curves, I KNEW he was sitting dead red on the fastball. Kid has been good tonight, but having just two pitches will only play for so long.
.440 xBA
Also, and please pardon the stupidity of my question, but is catch probability calculated based on the inverse of xBA? How is catch probability calculated, exactly?
In all fairness, the replay did look like he might’ve gotten the fingers of the glove under the ball before it bounced up into the pocket. My guess is it just wasn’t clear enough to determine, hence the call standing. Sucks either way.