I believe the after division record (which would be tied at 9-3 in the Bears won and Falcons lost), the next tiebreaker is record vs. common opponents (minimum of 4) Here are the 4 common opponents between the Falcons and Bears: Eagles (Falcons lost, Bears won) Packers (Falcons won, Bears won twice) Carolina (Falcons went 1-1, Bears won) Seattle (Falcons won, Bears lost) That would put the Falcons at 3-2, the Bears 4-1, thus winning the tiebreaker over them. If the Saints won, they'd win the South and win the conference record tiebreaker over the Bears (10-2 vs. 9-3) This is a terrible tiebreaker if the Falcons can count the Panthers twice and the Bears have to count the Packers twice.