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Southpaw19

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  1. Southpaw19
    For those of you who may not know me, I am Southpaw19 on the NSBB Forum. I run the annual Home Run Derby game on the Forum. My friends and family call me Josh. I am a family man with two beautiful daughters. The second of whom was only three months and six days old when the Chicago Cubs won the 2016 World Series. That was a great year for me and my family. We officially adopted my oldest daughter that October. Our second was born in July. Oh yes, and the Cubs won the World Series!
    Of course I ended up watching the parade from home, instead of going to join the millions of people in the city. However, let me fast-forward to January 2017. I was listening to The Score as I usually will do from time to time. Especially when it’s to listen to my favorite on-air host, Laurence Holmes. He had a brief segment on how great it was to “win the big one”, but he posed a question to the listening audience. Everyone was saying they just wanted to win once in their lifetime - win the World Series before they die! They could die happy if the Cubs just won ONE. BUT - now that the impossible has become possible, and you have that “one” as a Cubs fan - is one enough for you?
    Laurence would go on to compare it to the feeling that you get when you’re invited to a party or the club, and all you wanted to do was go inside… to be accepted. Yet once inside, you realized how nice it was. How great the music sounded. How awesome and fun it was, and now all you wanted to do was go here all the time. In essence … once is most certainly not enough. I certainly can relate to that feeling, as most Cubs fans would probably admit it is true as well. The feeling of euphoria for just one year is definitely not enough. I want more.
    Now I’m not saying I want the Cubs to turn into the New York Yankees. These are affectionately, and previously referred to as the “lovable losers” (not by me, I hate that term… it is not one of endearment). They do not need to become a nationally hated franchise; though the winning of championships might soothe that sting a little bit. I digress. What I really want is just to win again relatively soon. Why?
    The first time in 2016, I had several out-of-body experiences, and while I can clearly remember where I was when the Cubs won Game 6 of the NLCS to get to the World Series, as well as Game 7 of the World Series, I would like to be able to have a “re-do” of some of those experiences.
    For starters, I would really love to be at a sports bar or even just a restaurant with TVs in it. I was at my in-laws house with a grand total of probably 4-5 people. I have enough sense of reality that I know enough that I would not be able to get World Series tickets. In light of that though, I would really love to be in a place that would get crazy with a Cubs win. The atmosphere was awesome for the 2015 Wild Card game, and that was the last time I was at a bar for a playoff game.
    In the first inning of Game 7, I yelled at my wife’s grandmother. I would really like to not have that type of negative energy. Speaking of negative energy, that would be the genesis of why I yelled at her in the first place. Dexter Fowler home run to lead off the game, and after I get excited for the fast start, my wife’s grandmother snarkily says “it’s only one [run]”, to which I yelled at her to leave the room if that was going to be her attitude. “JOSHUA!” my wife fired back … as if I was the bad guy. Well, maybe I was but I don’t need that when I’m anxious enough already.
    Fast-forward to the 6-3 Cubs lead, and my wife and father-in-law head out to the sporting goods store for merch that was three innings away from becoming a reality (they wanted to beat the rush/lines). Fast-forward again and we are in the bottom of the 10th inning, when the Cubs replace Carl Edwards Jr. with Mike Montgomery. My lovely wife calls from outside Dick’s Sporting Goods. In the parking lot, is a police squad car to keep the peace, but also to blast the radio feed of the game. For those of you that know about the delay between the radio and television probably already know where this is going. I’m still on the phone with my wife, and I can hear the crowd outside Dick’s go crazy. I knew at that moment we won, but I hadn’t seen it yet. Sure enough, ground ball to Braynt… over to Rizzo… and the Cubs win in anticlimactic fashion (in my head - because I got ‘spoiled’ ahead of time by 3-7 seconds).
    It all boils down to what I said at the start of this entry. I need the Cubs to win the World Series again. Will that be in 2023? Not likely. Sometime between 2024-2026 would be great though. Next time I will be ready. Next time I will soak it all in. But most importantly… I won’t be on the damn phone.
  2. Southpaw19
    Or more like the 2014 Cubs… or maybe somewhere in-between?
    At the end of the 2014 MLB Season, the Chicago Cubs finished sixteen games under .500, finishing in last place in the NL Central. During that offseason heading into 2015, the Cubs made radical changes, and that started with hiring Joe Maddon as manager. We all know the story behind that move, and how a contract loophole with Tampa Bay’s front office led to Joe being able to walk away and get hired elsewhere. Continuing on to the offseason, Theo Epstein signed SP Jon Lester, SP Jason Hammel, C David Ross, and RP Jason Motte. They did not stop there, however, as they acquired CF Dexter Fowler in a trade with the Houston Astros. Obviously we know in hindsight how much of a contribution most of these players made in 2016. However, this was the year they signed, and their first season as a Cub was 2015.
    Kyle Schwarber and Kris Bryant debuted in 2015. Javier Baez debuted in 2014. The Cubs did not really have any breakout prospects ready to start 2023 with the main club. There are one or two that are on the not-too-distant horizon, but I can’t see them helping this team to the postseason - at least not from April’s vantage point.
    If you want to just scratch the surface and look at wins and losses, the 2015 team was twenty-four wins better than the previous season. However, they still finished third in their division, thanks to bigger win totals from the Cardinals and Pirates (the Pirates?!). Taking a deeper look, you had a Cy Young season from Jake Arrieta, who had a record-setting second half of the season. In 2014, the Cubs’ monthly record hovered around, or several games below .500 all year. In 2015, they were 42-18 from August 1 onward. In one of my favorite stats - when scoring four runs or more - the Cubs were 71-20 in 2015 (improvement over the 54-20 record in 2014).
    Thanks to the Wild Card playoff qualifier, the Chicago Cubs made the postseason in 2015, thanks to having a better record than the rest of the teams in the hunt. They took care of the Pirates in that Wild Card game, and advanced to the NLDS where they played rival St. Louis and vanquished them as well. They made it all the way to the NLCS, taking on but losing the series to the New York Mets. Now I’m not writing this to take you down memory lane (good or bad). 
    The point I am getting towards is: the 2014 Cubs were bad, and began an overhaul in that offseason looking towards 2015 as an improvement year - not necessarily with an eye to the postseason. They overachieved and had a great run in the second half. The 2022 Cubs were bad in the first half, but gained a little bit of momentum in the second half, finished strong, and provided some hope for 2023’s improvement. During the offseason, Jed Hoyer signed SS Dansby Swanson, CF Cody Bellinger, SP Jameson Taillon, DH Trey Mancini, 1B Eric Hosmer, among others. Manager David Ross remained, but he is not Joe Maddon.
    Now I’m not in any way saying the 2023 Cubs are a 97 win team. Far from it. They don’t even have a set “core” in place yet, as they did before. What I am asking is, who are the 2023 Cubs? Are they still in the 2014 realm, if we’re comparing rebuilds towards a championship? Are they going to be overachievers and show more improvement than projected? Can they make the postseason in the now-expanded Wild Card Playoff format? Perhaps more realistically – are they somewhere between 2014 and 2015, comparatively speaking?
    I will say this: the age-old adage of “You cannot win a division in April, but you sure can lose one” always rings in the back of my mind every season. As I sit here and write, we are only five games deep to the 2023 season. The Cubs are 2-3. In 2014 the Cubs were 1-4 after five games, and 9-16 in April. In 2015 the Cubs were 3-2 after five games, and 12-8 in April. Does any of that mean anything? Of course not. But … What can we possibly expect? 
    Time will tell.
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