but they won more than 100 games and have the inside track for signing a lot of their good pitchers, plus they've still got kershaw, wood and one-pitch rich for at least 2 more years. even with some regression it would be surprising to see them not winning more than 90 games for the next couple of years at least. It is not a particularly likely outcome, but: - You can chart a course where the Dodgers drop a lot of wins without anything going particularly wrong. Seager is a 5ish win player instead of 6. Turner and Bellinger are 3ish win players instead of 5. Taylor is an 2-3 win player instead of 5, Jansen and setup guy combining for less than 5 (!) wins, etc. That still leaves them a good team, but again that's not a worst case scenario by any means. - The Dodgers are over the 2018 luxury tax for 25 players at the moment, and they've exceeded it for 4 straight years already. They get a fair amount of relief the following year and they probably don't care about the 50% tax too much, but they probably aren't going to be chucking around tens of millions of dollars in AAV this offseason. My original post was that I hope they implode like the Mets after beating us in 2015.