- Curse You!
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Brian707 wrote:What are Bailey's chances of winning vs Pritzker? This dude is horsefeathering nuts. 5%?
According to 538, you've overshot it...
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... /illinois/
But the polling is limited.
- 5-Time All-Star
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Banedon wrote:Derwood wrote:sneakypower wrote:https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1554639811595669505
What (if anything) might this mean for the midterms?
Welcome to the conversation for the next 3 months.
It at minimum means that the issue is motivating Dem voters to turn out in non-POTUS elections. It’s definitely a good sign, anyway.
- Transmogrified Tiger
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Transmogrified Tiger wrote:I think abortion is likely to be more salient than the average issue, but I'd also be careful about the takeaway from issue votes instead of candidates. People are frequently much more sane/progressive when voting on issues compared to people/parties. A recent example, here in Missouri the public voted down Right to Work and voted for medical marijuana in the same election they elected Hawley over a two term incumbent.